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Hanson, “Some Skepticism (comment in "A Critical Discussion of Vinge's Singularity Concept")” (1998-10) bears on G01. In a comment that is otherwise sceptical of Vinge's singularity, Hanson accepts that uploads could bring bursts of growth by removing biological limits on reproducing "human" capital. Copy claim link
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Supporting evidence: primary · 1 source
Date 1998-10 · publication Wording attested 2000-11-17. Earliest retrieved capture of the page; the CDX index was unavailable, so an earlier capture is not excluded. Role Context Register (kind of text) Nonfiction Missing element Describes temporary spurts of growth, not a sustained rise in the growth rate by an order of magnitude. Tier Tier 2. Tier 2 (unchanged). Short-form commentary: a comment of about 1,500 words in an online discussion of Vinge's essay (listed by the author as Extropy Online, Oct. 1998). The author is an economist, but the rule places short-form commentary in tier 2 whoever writes it. Judgement recorded: the comment is a reply in an open discussion, with no model and no references beyond two links, not a substantive scholarly argument. Scope and limits The record documents what the text says; it does not establish that the argument or model is right.
The evidence 01 primary source Supports the claim
Some Skepticism (comment in "A Critical Discussion of Vinge's Singularity Concept") ↗ Online symposium of comments on Vernor Vinge's singularity essay · 1998-10
Archived copy, captured 2000-11-17: Some Skepticism (comment in "A Critical Discussion of Vinge's Singularity Concept") ↗
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Source excerpt “I can also see spurts of economic growth from plucking the "low-hanging fruit" of easy upload modifications, and due to eliminating today's biological bounds on reproduction rates of "human" type capital.” Location in source Hanson's comment, paragraph beginning "First, let me say what I agree with"
Machine-checked · 2026-10-14
Source details and check notes Authors Robin Hanson Version Wayback capture of http://hanson.gmu.edu/vc.html (2000-11-17); compared with the 2001-01-11 capture. Only Hanson's comment is quoted. Capture retrieved 2026-10-08 (SHA-256 e54a679e31374bf4cb71e49287f363be63976a4bb3f7d180e98f89bccd64cf2c). Published version: Hanson, R. (1998, October). Some skepticism. In A critical discussion of Vinge's singularity concept. Extropy Online. Venue as listed in the author's December 2000 vita; the Extropy Online page itself was not retrieved. Hosted on the author's site; the page carries "©1998 by Robin Hanson". Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-08 Language English (en) Archive copy Open archived copy, captured 2000-11-17: Some Skepticism (comment in "A Critical Discussion of Vinge's Singularity Concept") ↗ . An archive copy shows only what the archive retrieved on 2000-11-17. It does not prove what the page said earlier, and it can differ from the copy checked on 2026-10-08.Attribution Robin Hanson, “Some Skepticism (comment in "A Critical Discussion of Vinge's Singularity Concept")”, Online symposium of comments on Vernor Vinge's singularity essay, hosted on the author's site; the page carries "©1998 by Robin Hanson", 1998-10. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Candidate pack passage G01-g (research/economics-growth). The quotation (31 words) matched the checked expression (hanson-vinge-2000) in the pack's verification. Re-checked at admission on 2026-10-14 against a copy retrieved that day. Status and meaning Editorial status. Not reviewed by an editor . An exploratory record that no editor has accepted. This status does not say whether a person has read any linked passage. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.
Relation. A passage of the document bears on the proposition without meeting its criterion; the record names the missing element. It is not an articulation and implies no influence.
Date. Copyright line "©1998 by Robin Hanson" at the end of the comment; the author's December 2000 vita (2000-12-05 capture of hanson.gmu.edu/vita.html) lists the discussion as "Extropy Online, Oct. 1998".
Record ID ec-g01-hanson-1998-some-skepticism-b