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Davidson, “Could Advanced AI Drive Explosive Economic Growth?” (2021-06-25) articulates G02. Restates the ideas feedback loop of semi-endogenous growth models with AI systems in place of population, after the demographic transition broke the human loop. Draws the conclusion of the feedback argument (audit A: the first passage alone stops before it). Copy claim link
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Supporting evidence: primary · 1 source
Date 2021-06-25 · publication Wording attested 2021-07-02. Earliest retrieved capture. Role Earliest located in tier 2 Register (kind of text) Nonfiction Tier Tier 2. Tier 2 (unchanged). Research report by an author with no economics appointment, degree, address or affiliation shown in or near the text and no established record as an economist; the report says it is written to be accessible to non-economists. Under the 2026-10-11 rule the venue does not decide; the author does. Conditions AI substituting very effectively for human labour in both production and R&D. Scope and limits Davidson's overall conclusion is probabilistic (the report's abstract).
The evidence 02 primary source Supports the claim
Could Advanced AI Drive Explosive Economic Growth? ↗ Open Philanthropy research report · 2021-06-25
Archived copy, captured 2021-07-02: Could Advanced AI Drive Explosive Economic Growth? ↗
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Source excerpt “Suppose we develop AI systems that can substitute very effectively for human labor in producing output and in R&D. The following ideas feedback loop could occur: more ideas → more output → more AI systems → more ideas…” Location in source Summary, first argument ("Idea-based models of very long-run growth imply AI could drive explosive growth")
Machine-checked · 2026-10-08
Source details and check notes Authors Tom Davidson Version Wayback capture of openphilanthropy.org/could-advanced-ai-drive-explosive-economic-growth (2021-07-02); compared with the 2022 capture of the moved page. Capture retrieved 2026-10-08 (SHA-256 b49aea65d3574a88e914a855aaba57dd4a02728159a187a26a657d0f44ac324b). Published version: Davidson, T. (2021, June 25). Could advanced AI drive explosive economic growth? Open Philanthropy. Report; no other published version recorded. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-08 Language English (en) Archive copy Open archived copy, captured 2021-07-02: Could Advanced AI Drive Explosive Economic Growth? ↗ . Captured 7 days after the recorded publication date. An archive copy shows only what the archive retrieved on 2021-07-02. It does not prove what the page said earlier, and it can differ from the copy checked on 2026-10-08.Attribution Tom Davidson, “Could Advanced AI Drive Explosive Economic Growth?”, Open Philanthropy research report, 2021-06-25. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Candidate pack passage G02-e (research/economics-growth). The quotation (38 words) matched the checked expression (davidson-op-2021) in the pack's verification. primary source Supports the claim
Could Advanced AI Drive Explosive Economic Growth? ↗ Open Philanthropy research report · 2021-06-25
Archived copy, captured 2021-07-02: Could Advanced AI Drive Explosive Economic Growth? ↗
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Cite the original source Cite the original document, not Selekoa. Check these details against it.
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Source excerpt “Before 1880, the ideas feedback loop led to super-exponential growth. So our default expectation should be that this new ideas feedback loop will again lead to super-exponential growth.” Location in source Summary, first argument, same paragraph, after the feedback loop
Machine-checked · 2026-10-08
Source details and check notes Authors Tom Davidson Version Wayback capture of openphilanthropy.org/could-advanced-ai-drive-explosive-economic-growth (2021-07-02); compared with the 2022 capture of the moved page. Capture retrieved 2026-10-08 (SHA-256 b49aea65d3574a88e914a855aaba57dd4a02728159a187a26a657d0f44ac324b). Published version: Davidson, T. (2021, June 25). Could advanced AI drive explosive economic growth? Open Philanthropy. Report; no other published version recorded. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-08 Language English (en) Archive copy Open archived copy, captured 2021-07-02: Could Advanced AI Drive Explosive Economic Growth? ↗ . Captured 7 days after the recorded publication date. An archive copy shows only what the archive retrieved on 2021-07-02. It does not prove what the page said earlier, and it can differ from the copy checked on 2026-10-08.Attribution Tom Davidson, “Could Advanced AI Drive Explosive Economic Growth?”, Open Philanthropy research report, 2021-06-25. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Candidate pack passage G02-e2 (research/economics-growth). The quotation (28 words) matched the checked expression (davidson-op-2021) in the pack's verification. Status and meaning Editorial status. Not reviewed by an editor . An exploratory record that no editor has accepted. This status does not say whether a person has read any linked passage. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.
Relation. A passage of the document meets the proposition’s criterion. The record documents what the text states, in its register (fiction and satire are labelled); it is not evidence that the proposition is true and implies no influence on or from another text.
Date. Page: "Published June 25, 2021".
Record ID ec-g02-davidson-2021-explosive-economic-growth-a