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Davidson, “Could Advanced AI Drive Explosive Economic Growth?” (2021-06-25) contests G04. Responds to the Aghion, Jones and Jones bottleneck. Davidson accepts that it "correctly highlights that AI may lead to very widespread automation without explosive growth occurring". Copy claim link
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Supporting evidence: primary · 1 source
Date 2021-06-25 · publication Wording attested 2021-07-02. Earliest retrieved capture. Role Earliest located in tier 2, Contesting Register (kind of text) Nonfiction Engagement Engages a premise. Disputes the premise that some essential task will remain unautomated, and adds that partial automation can raise growth temporarily. Tier Tier 2. Tier 2 (unchanged). Research report by an author with no economics appointment, degree, address or affiliation shown in or near the text and no established record as an economist; the report says it is written to be accessible to non-economists. Under the 2026-10-11 rule the venue does not decide; the author does. Scope and limits The record documents what the text says; it does not establish that the argument or model is right.
The evidence 01 primary source Supports the claim
Could Advanced AI Drive Explosive Economic Growth? ↗ Open Philanthropy research report · 2021-06-25
Archived copy, captured 2021-07-02: Could Advanced AI Drive Explosive Economic Growth? ↗
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Source excerpt “I don't think this provides a decisive reason to rule out explosive growth. Firstly, it's possible that we will ultimately automate all essential tasks, or restructure work-flows to do without them.” Location in source Summary, objection "Automation limits", response
Machine-checked · 2026-10-08
Source details and check notes Authors Tom Davidson Version Wayback capture of openphilanthropy.org/could-advanced-ai-drive-explosive-economic-growth (2021-07-02); compared with the 2022 capture of the moved page. Capture retrieved 2026-10-08 (SHA-256 b49aea65d3574a88e914a855aaba57dd4a02728159a187a26a657d0f44ac324b). Published version: Davidson, T. (2021, June 25). Could advanced AI drive explosive economic growth? Open Philanthropy. Report; no other published version recorded. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-08 Language English (en) Archive copy Open archived copy, captured 2021-07-02: Could Advanced AI Drive Explosive Economic Growth? ↗ . Captured 7 days after the recorded publication date. An archive copy shows only what the archive retrieved on 2021-07-02. It does not prove what the page said earlier, and it can differ from the copy checked on 2026-10-08.Attribution Tom Davidson, “Could Advanced AI Drive Explosive Economic Growth?”, Open Philanthropy research report, 2021-06-25. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Candidate pack passage G04-f (research/economics-growth). The quotation (31 words) matched the checked expression (davidson-op-2021) in the pack's verification. Status and meaning Editorial status. Not reviewed by an editor . An exploratory record that no editor has accepted. This status does not say whether a person has read any linked passage. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.
Relation. A passage of the document disputes the proposition or a premise it depends on. The record documents the text’s position, not who is right.
Date. Page: "Published June 25, 2021".
Record ID ec-g04-davidson-2021-explosive-economic-growth-c