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Trammell and Korinek, “Economic Growth under Transformative AI: A guide to the vast range of possibilities for output growth, wages, and the labor share” (2021-02-04) bears on G05. Treats growth-rate increases and singularities as benchmarks that hold "for some time" before limits such as land or energy bind. Copy claim link
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Date 2021-02-04 · publication Wording attested 2021-06-25. Only retrieved capture of the GPI PDF (text dated 2021-02-04). Claimed date 2020-10. Series cover date of GPI Working Paper 8-2020; the October 2020 wording was not retrieved. Role Context Register (kind of text) Nonfiction Missing element Says limits end super-exponential growth eventually; does not say they prevent explosive growth or end it quickly. Tier Tier 1. Tier 1 (unchanged). Working paper by authors with stated economics affiliations (Department of Economics, University of Oxford; Department of Economics, University of Virginia, NBER and CEPR, per the title page of the 2023 GPI revision); later NBER Working Paper 31815 and Annual Review of Economics. Scope and limits Absent from the NBER version (2023), whose introduction is rewritten.
The evidence 01 primary source Supports the claim
Economic Growth under Transformative AI: A guide to the vast range of possibilities for output growth, wages, and the labor share ↗ Global Priorities Institute Working Paper No. 8-2020 · 2021-02-04
Archived copy, captured 2021-06-25: Economic Growth under Transformative AI: A guide to the vast range of possibilities for output growth, wages, and the labor share ↗
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Source excerpt “The relevant possibility is that AI induces a growth path that resembles these benchmarks for some time, until production confronts limiting factors, such as land or energy, that have never or have not recently been important constraints on growth.” Location in source Introduction, paragraph beginning "Basic physics suggests"
Machine-checked · 2026-10-14
Source details and check notes Authors Philip Trammell; Anton Korinek Version Wayback capture of the GPI PDF (text dated 2021-02-04); compared with a capture of NBER Working Paper 31815 (2023). Capture retrieved 2026-10-08 (SHA-256 8f2ec30dd60480d9d46847c94873df53da83535c2b1431d598a0fae0270d8c12). Versions: GPI Working Paper 8-2020 (2020-10 (series cover)): not retrieved; GPI revision (2021-02-04): checked; GPI revision (2023-02-03): retrieved 2026-10-10 as a current copy; not the checked expression; NBER Working Paper 31815 (2023-10): compared; Annual Review of Economics 18 (2026 (Crossref issue date 2026-08-07)): not retrieved. Published version: Trammell, P., & Korinek, A. (2026). Economic growth under transformative AI. Annual Review of Economics, 18, 589–611. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-economics-051624-061002 Working papers: GPI Working Paper No. 8-2020 (October 2020; checked revision 2021-02-04); NBER Working Paper No. 31815 (2023), https://doi.org/10.3386/w31815. Crossref gives the journal article's issue date as 2026-08-07; its wording was not retrieved. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-08 Language English (en) Archive copy Open archived copy, captured 2021-06-25: Economic Growth under Transformative AI: A guide to the vast range of possibilities for output growth, wages, and the labor share ↗ . Captured 141 days after the recorded publication date. An archive copy shows only what the archive retrieved on 2021-06-25. It does not prove what the page said earlier, and it can differ from the copy checked on 2026-10-08.Attribution Philip Trammell, Anton Korinek, “Economic Growth under Transformative AI: A guide to the vast range of possibilities for output growth, wages, and the labor share”, Global Priorities Institute Working Paper No. 8-2020, 2021-02-04. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Candidate pack passage G05-b (research/economics-growth). The quotation (39 words) matched the checked expression (trammell-gpi) in the pack's verification; one other cached version lacks it. Re-checked at admission on 2026-10-14 against a copy retrieved that day. Status and meaning Editorial status. Not reviewed by an editor . An exploratory record that no editor has accepted. This status does not say whether a person has read any linked passage. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.
Relation. A passage of the document bears on the proposition without meeting its criterion; the record names the missing element. It is not an articulation and implies no influence.
Date. Title page of the retrieved text: "February 4, 2021". The series cover reads "Global Priorities Institute | October 2020" (see claimed).
Record ID ec-g05-trammell-korinek-2020-growth-under-transformative-ai-b