Claim: Leontief and Duchin, “The Impacts of Automation on Employment…

Search by nameBrowse by topic

Core institutions

Document histories

Chinese AI histories

Three selected institutional histories, grouped here for navigation. The grouping implies no shared ownership, strategy or lineage.

DeepSeek Alibaba / Qwen Zhipu AI

Coverage is selective

Selected records
1965–2027
Dates after the latest check are scheduled dates

Latest source check
2026-10-26

All records

All topics

Choose an institution to see its records and dossier, or choose a topic.

Through year Show

94 people, organisations and other records · 122 relationships · 34 claims about a valueEverything recorded up to the chosen year, whether or not still in effect · Undated records included

Claim and evidence

The Impacts of Automation on Employment, 1963–2000. Final Reportarticulates ↓Automation lowers the labour share, wages or employment

Leontief and Duchin, “The Impacts of Automation on Employment, 1963–2000. Final Report” (1984-04) articulates M06a. Speaker: Wassily Leontief and Faye Duchin (economists). The authors find that automation's effects are specific to types of work, with professionals rising and clerical workers falling sharply.

Machine-checked, not reviewed by an editorStated in sourceSupported

Supporting evidence: primary · 1 source

Date: 1984-04 · publication
Role: Articulation
Register (kind of text): Nonfiction
Tier: Tier 1. Report by economists (Leontief and Duchin, NYU Institute for Economic Analysis).
Conditions: Under Scenario S3, by 2000, as a share of labour requirements. Professionals rise to nearly 20 per cent.

Scope and limitsProjection of occupational shares, not wages. Matches the cached .txt. The figure is the Scenario S3 projection of the clerical share of labour requirements in 2000, not an observed outcome. Locator tightened on 2026-10-12 from "ch. 1, discussion of Tables 1.1-1.2 (printed pp. 1.14-1.20; footer markers missing in OCR)" (GPT cross-family check of 2026-10-12, accepted by the maintainer on 2026-10-12; the page was confirmed on a page image of the scan, not in the OCR text).

The evidence 01

primary sourceSupports the claim

The Impacts of Automation on Employment, 1963–2000. Final Report

New York: Institute for Economic Analysis, New York University; National Science Foundation contract PRA-8012844; April 1984, 376 pp.; ERIC ED 241 743 · 1984-04

Cite the original source

Cite the original document, not Selekoa. Check these details against it.

Source excerpt · shown only with its context

“demand for clerical workers falls to 11.5% from 17.8% in 1978.”

Read it with this context. This is the projection under Scenario S3 (the most rapid automation scenario) and it is a SHARE of labour requirements, not a level. The full sentence: 'By the year 2000 ... under Scenario S3 ... demand for clerical workers falls to 11.5% from 17.8% in 1978.' The surrounding text also reports a reduction in absolute numbers across scenarios.

Why: Fresh-context audit (A2) judged that the quotation misleads when shown alone.

Location in source ch. 1, discussion of Tables 1.1-1.2, printed p. 1.18 (footer markers missing in OCR)

Machine-checked · 2026-10-14

Source details and check notes

Authors: Wassily Leontief; Faye Duchin
Version: Internet Archive OCR text (djvu.txt) of a scanned copy, retrieved 2026-10-09 from https://dn711508.ca.archive.org/0/items/microIA411534480031/microIA411534480031djvu.txt; OCR errors possible; quotes checked only against clean stretches. Current copy; no earlier capture compared. SHA-256 cd03df677ca1a723f843eccec0fa1415b3227d604bc83c6783a40321b9a785e9. Book version not retrieved; the 1984 report was. Leontief, W., & Duchin, F. (1986). The future impact of automation on workers. Oxford University Press.
Canonical address: Open the canonical source ↗
Accessed: 2026-10-09
Language: English (en)
Attribution: Wassily Leontief, Faye Duchin, “The Impacts of Automation on Employment, 1963–2000. Final Report”, New York: Institute for Economic Analysis, New York University; National Science Foundation contract PRA-8012844; April 1984, 376 pp.; ERIC ED 241 743, 1984-04.
Reuse: No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution.
Check notes: Candidate pack passage M06a-07 (research/economics-mainstream). The quotation (11 words) matched the retrieved current copy (SHA-256 cd03df677ca1a723f843eccec0fa1415b3227d604bc83c6783a40321b9a785e9) in the pack's verification. Re-checked at admission on 2026-10-14 against a copy retrieved that day.

Status and meaning

Editorial status. Not reviewed by an editor. An exploratory record that no editor has accepted. This status does not say whether a person has read any linked passage. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.

Relation. A passage of the document meets the proposition’s criterion. The record documents what the text states, in its register (fiction and satire are labelled); it is not evidence that the proposition is true and implies no influence on or from another text.

Date. ERIC résumé: "Apr 84". Published in book form as The Future Impact of Automation on Workers (Oxford University Press, 1986; not retrieved). Chapters 4 and 5 were drafted by other members of the Institute (Howell; McDonough), per the report; the record attributes the report to Leontief and Duchin as its authors. Checked in a current copy; an archive capture was not available, so earlier bytes are not authenticated.

Record ID ec-m06a-leontief-duchin-1984-impacts-of-automation-a

Explore the documentary record

All topics