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Bostrom's paper of 2004 (read in a later revision) argues that unconstrained evolutionary competition among uploads and their descendants could produce a society of complex structures, some much smarter and more intricate than anything today, in which no being whose welfare has moral significance remains, against the view that evolution can be trusted to lead in desirable directions. Copy claim link
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Supporting evidence: primary · 1 source
Date 2004 · publication Records dated 2004 → Wording attested 2026-10-31. The PDF read cites a 2008 paper and gives a 2009 republication as forthcoming, so its wording is later than 2004; its own revision date is not stated. The cross-family check read the PDF captured on 21 December 2004 for its footnotes only; this record's passages were not compared with it. Role Contesting Register (kind of text) Nonfiction Engagement Engages a premise. Disputes the premise that the rise of more intelligent or complex forms makes their succession valuable whatever their capacity for conscious experience (the paper's "Panglossian view"); it does not dispute succession by conscious machines. Scope and limits Bostrom presents the outcomes as scenarios that would follow if the future fitness landscape makes them the default, and argues for coordinated control of evolution; he does not state that they will occur. The paper states that what would make such a world valueless is "not the fact that machines would have replaced biological humans" but the absence of machines "that are conscious and whose welfare matters", and that the answer on alien complexes "may depend on the precise nature of those alien complexes" (PDF p. 5).
The evidence 04 primary source Supports the claim
The Future of Human Evolution ↗ Author's site (nickbostrom.com); published in Death and Anti-Death: Two Hundred Years After Kant, Fifty Years After Turing, ed. Charles Tandy (Ria University Press, 2004), pp. 339–371 · 2004
Archived copy, captured 2004-12-21: The Future of Human Evolution ↗
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Source excerpt “lead to the gradual elimination of all forms of being that we care about” Location in source Abstract, PDF p. 1
How it was read Retrieved directly from the publisher
Machine-checked · 2026-11-01
Source details and check notes Authors Nick Bostrom Version Retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-31 (SHA-256 84e542c48b499b8b2a2e331f6ec0110588e8234c348a5886fa7d4402bbba9e36). Author-hosted PDF headed "[First version: 2004. Published in Death and Anti-Death … (2004): pp. 339-371. Republished in Bedeutung (2009): forthcoming]"; it cites a 2008 paper, so its wording is a revision later than the 2004 publication. Not compared with the 2004 print or the 2004-12-21 capture of the PDF address. The cross-family check of 2026-11-01 read the PDF as captured on 21 December 2004: it already cites Hanson and Moravec, in footnotes 11 and 6 (12 and 7 in the current PDF). Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-31 Language English (en) Archive copy Open archived copy, captured 2004-12-21: The Future of Human Evolution ↗ . An archive copy shows only what the archive retrieved on 2004-12-21. It does not prove what the page said earlier, and it can differ from the copy checked on 2026-10-31.Attribution Nick Bostrom, “The Future of Human Evolution”, 2004. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Candidate pack passage, machine succession, scale and acceleration (research/heterodox-thought). The quotation (14 words) matched the text retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-31. Matching ignored differences of whitespace, case, quotation marks, dashes and Unicode compatibility forms, so the source’s typography can differ. No human editorial review. primary source Supports the claim
The Future of Human Evolution ↗ Author's site (nickbostrom.com); published in Death and Anti-Death: Two Hundred Years After Kant, Fifty Years After Turing, ed. Charles Tandy (Ria University Press, 2004), pp. 339–371 · 2004
Archived copy, captured 2004-12-21: The Future of Human Evolution ↗
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Source excerpt “Do we, upon reflection, really favor a world in which such alien types of complexes have replaced human-type complexes?” Location in source Section 2, Scenario I, PDF p. 5
How it was read Retrieved directly from the publisher
Machine-checked · 2026-11-01
Source details and check notes Authors Nick Bostrom Version Retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-31 (SHA-256 84e542c48b499b8b2a2e331f6ec0110588e8234c348a5886fa7d4402bbba9e36). Author-hosted PDF headed "[First version: 2004. Published in Death and Anti-Death … (2004): pp. 339-371. Republished in Bedeutung (2009): forthcoming]"; it cites a 2008 paper, so its wording is a revision later than the 2004 publication. Not compared with the 2004 print or the 2004-12-21 capture of the PDF address. The cross-family check of 2026-11-01 read the PDF as captured on 21 December 2004: it already cites Hanson and Moravec, in footnotes 11 and 6 (12 and 7 in the current PDF). Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-31 Language English (en) Archive copy Open archived copy, captured 2004-12-21: The Future of Human Evolution ↗ . An archive copy shows only what the archive retrieved on 2004-12-21. It does not prove what the page said earlier, and it can differ from the copy checked on 2026-10-31.Attribution Nick Bostrom, “The Future of Human Evolution”, 2004. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Candidate pack passage, machine succession, scale and acceleration (research/heterodox-thought). The quotation (19 words) matched the text retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-31. Matching ignored differences of whitespace, case, quotation marks, dashes and Unicode compatibility forms, so the source’s typography can differ. No human editorial review. primary source Supports the claim
The Future of Human Evolution ↗ Author's site (nickbostrom.com); published in Death and Anti-Death: Two Hundred Years After Kant, Fifty Years After Turing, ed. Charles Tandy (Ria University Press, 2004), pp. 339–371 · 2004
Archived copy, captured 2004-12-21: The Future of Human Evolution ↗
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Source excerpt “some of which are much smarter and more intricate than anything that exists today, in which there would nevertheless be a complete absence of any type of being whose welfare has moral significance.” Location in source Section 2, PDF p. 5
How it was read Retrieved directly from the publisher
Machine-checked · 2026-11-01
Source details and check notes Authors Nick Bostrom Version Retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-31 (SHA-256 84e542c48b499b8b2a2e331f6ec0110588e8234c348a5886fa7d4402bbba9e36). Author-hosted PDF headed "[First version: 2004. Published in Death and Anti-Death … (2004): pp. 339-371. Republished in Bedeutung (2009): forthcoming]"; it cites a 2008 paper, so its wording is a revision later than the 2004 publication. Not compared with the 2004 print or the 2004-12-21 capture of the PDF address. The cross-family check of 2026-11-01 read the PDF as captured on 21 December 2004: it already cites Hanson and Moravec, in footnotes 11 and 6 (12 and 7 in the current PDF). Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-31 Language English (en) Archive copy Open archived copy, captured 2004-12-21: The Future of Human Evolution ↗ . An archive copy shows only what the archive retrieved on 2004-12-21. It does not prove what the page said earlier, and it can differ from the copy checked on 2026-10-31.Attribution Nick Bostrom, “The Future of Human Evolution”, 2004. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Candidate pack passage, machine succession, scale and acceleration (research/heterodox-thought). The quotation (33 words) matched the text retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-31. Matching ignored differences of whitespace, case, quotation marks, dashes and Unicode compatibility forms, so the source’s typography can differ. No human editorial review. primary source Supports the claim
The Future of Human Evolution ↗ Author's site (nickbostrom.com); published in Death and Anti-Death: Two Hundred Years After Kant, Fifty Years After Turing, ed. Charles Tandy (Ria University Press, 2004), pp. 339–371 · 2004
Archived copy, captured 2004-12-21: The Future of Human Evolution ↗
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Source excerpt “What would make such a world valueless is not the fact that machines would have replaced biological humans.” Location in source Section 2, Scenario I, PDF p. 5
How it was read Retrieved directly from the publisher
Machine-checked · 2026-11-01
Source details and check notes Authors Nick Bostrom Version Retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-31 (SHA-256 84e542c48b499b8b2a2e331f6ec0110588e8234c348a5886fa7d4402bbba9e36). Author-hosted PDF headed "[First version: 2004. Published in Death and Anti-Death … (2004): pp. 339-371. Republished in Bedeutung (2009): forthcoming]"; it cites a 2008 paper, so its wording is a revision later than the 2004 publication. Not compared with the 2004 print or the 2004-12-21 capture of the PDF address. The cross-family check of 2026-11-01 read the PDF as captured on 21 December 2004: it already cites Hanson and Moravec, in footnotes 11 and 6 (12 and 7 in the current PDF). Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-31 Language English (en) Archive copy Open archived copy, captured 2004-12-21: The Future of Human Evolution ↗ . An archive copy shows only what the archive retrieved on 2004-12-21. It does not prove what the page said earlier, and it can differ from the copy checked on 2026-10-31.Attribution Nick Bostrom, “The Future of Human Evolution”, 2004. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Candidate pack passage, machine succession, scale and acceleration (research/heterodox-thought). The quotation (18 words) matched the text retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-31. Matching ignored differences of whitespace, case, quotation marks, dashes and Unicode compatibility forms, so the source’s typography can differ. Limits the scope of the contest: the paper objects to succession by beings without conscious experience, not to replacement by machines as such. No human editorial review. Status and meaning Editorial status. Machine-checked . Machines found this record and checked it against its sources; no person accepted it individually. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.
Relation. A passage of the document disputes the proposition or a premise it depends on. The record documents the text’s position, not who is right.
Date. Dated by the PDF's statement "First version: 2004"; the wording read is a later revision.
Record ID ht-w02-bostrom-2004-future-of-human-evolution