“Forecasting AI Progress: Evidence from a Survey of Machine Learning Researchers” (2022-06-08) reports a survey result (Zhang et al., survey of AI/ML researchers (2019)): “human-level machine intelligence being achieved”; horizon as stated: 50% likelihood by 2060. The record says nothing about whether the event happened.

One recorded claim. The claim panel gives its qualification, the source passages with their place in each source, and how it was checked.