Claim · 2018-01-01 · publication · Stated in source · Supported

“My Dated Predictions” (2018-01-01) states a prediction by Rodney Brooks: “An AI system with an ongoing existence (no day is the repeat of another day as it currently is for all AI systems) at the level of a mouse.”; horizon as stated: NET 2030 ("No Earlier Than"). The record says nothing about whether the event happened.

One recorded claim. The claim panel gives its qualification, the source passages with their place in each source, and how it was checked.

What it connects

My Dated Predictions → states a prediction → An AI system with an ongoing existence (no day is the repeat of another day as it currently is for all AI systems) at the level of a mouse.

Where it appears

Predictions on record →

Claim and evidence

My Dated Predictionsstates a prediction ↓An AI system with an ongoing existence (no day is the repeat of another day as it currently is for all AI systems) at the level of a mouse.

Machine-checkedStated in sourceSupported

Supporting evidence: primary · 1 source

Date: 2018-01-01 · publication Records dated 2018 →

Scope and limitsA "No Earlier Than" date: a lower bound, not an expected date.

The evidence 01

primary sourceSupports the claim

My Dated Predictions

Author's blog (rodneybrooks.com) · 2018-01-01

Cite the original source

Cite the original document, not Selekoa. Check these details against it.

Source excerpt

“An AI system with an ongoing existence (no day is the repeat of another day as it currently is for all AI systems) at the level of a mouse. NET 2030”

Location in source Predictions table, AI and machine learning section

How it was read Retrieved directly from the publisher

Machine-checked · 2026-11-02

Source details and check notes

Authors: Rodney Brooks
Version: Live post, retrieved directly. Retrieved 2026-11-05 (HTTP 200, SHA-256 be923153da728fb974b5e6fb5ce1ead35d9a5af5c6a138d2cb00e4519432e3ab). The page heading reads "January 1, 2018 — Dated Predictions"; the author publishes yearly scorecards separately. Live page, so the wording is attested from retrieval.
Canonical address: Open the canonical source ↗
Accessed: 2026-11-05
Language: English (en)
Attribution: Rodney Brooks, “My Dated Predictions”, 2018-01-01.
Reuse: No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution.
Check notes: Matched by machine in a retrieval of 2026-11-05 (SHA-256 be923153da728fb974b5e6fb5ce1ead35d9a5af5c6a138d2cb00e4519432e3ab). Machine-checked; no human editorial review.

Status and meaning

Editorial status. Machine-checked. Machines found this record and checked it against its sources; no person accepted it individually. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.

Relation. The document states a prediction: an event, by a date or within a horizon, in the document’s own words. The record is dated by the document, never by the target date. It documents what the text states and when; it says nothing about whether the event happened, and it implies no agreement or influence.

Date. Date of the post.

Record ID pr-e-brooks-2018-mouse