Claim · 2023-05-22 · publication · Stated in source · Supported

“Governance of superintelligence” (2023-05-22) states a prediction by Sam Altman, Greg Brockman and Ilya Sutskever (OpenAI): “AI systems will exceed expert skill level in most domains”; horizon as stated: within the next ten years. The record says nothing about whether the event happened.

One recorded claim. The claim panel gives its qualification, the source passages with their place in each source, and how it was checked.

What it connects

Governance of superintelligence → states a prediction → AI systems will exceed expert skill level in most domains

Where it appears

Predictions on record →

Claim and evidence

Governance of superintelligencestates a prediction ↓AI systems will exceed expert skill level in most domains

Machine-checkedStated in sourceSupported

Supporting evidence: primary · 1 source

Date: 2023-05-22 · publication Records dated 2023 →

Scope and limitsChecked against the capture of the publication day as read by a reviewer from a different model family; the preparing assistant could not reach the page or the capture. The sentence opens with "Given the picture as we see it now" and states a possibility ("it’s conceivable"). In that reviewer's reading it continues "and carry out as much productive activity as one of today’s largest corporations"; the record's event is the first part only.

The evidence 01

primary sourceSupports the claim

Governance of superintelligence

OpenAI · 2023-05-22

Archived copy, captured 2023-05-22: Governance of superintelligence

Cite the original source

Cite the original document, not Selekoa. Check these details against it.

Paraphrase

The opening paragraph says that, given the picture as the authors see it now, “it’s conceivable” that “within the next ten years”, “AI systems will exceed expert skill level in most domains”.

Location in source Opening paragraph

Machine-checked · 2026-11-02

Source details and check notes

Authors: Sam Altman; Greg Brockman; Ilya Sutskever
Version: Internet Archive capture of 2023-05-22 (20230522175341) of the original openai.com/blog address, read by a reviewer from a different model family; the live page returned HTTP 403 to both model families, and web.archive.org did not answer the preparing assistant.
Canonical address: Open the canonical source ↗
Accessed: 2026-11-05
Language: English (en)
Archive copy: Open archived copy, captured 2023-05-22: Governance of superintelligence. Captured on the recorded publication date. An archive copy shows only what the archive retrieved on 2023-05-22. It does not prove what the page said earlier, and it can differ from the copy checked on 2026-11-05.
Attribution: Sam Altman, Greg Brockman, Ilya Sutskever, “Governance of superintelligence”, 2023-05-22.
Reuse: No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution.
Check notes: Paraphrase, with the record’s words in quotation marks, of a passage read by a reviewer from a different model family on 2026-11-03. The capture's length is not known here, so the passage is a labelled paraphrase with the record's words in quotation marks. Copy read: Internet Archive capture 20230522175341, read by a reviewer from a different model family on 2026-11-03; the preparing assistant could not reach it. Machine-checked; no human editorial review.

Status and meaning

Editorial status. Machine-checked. Machines found this record and checked it against its sources; no person accepted it individually. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.

Relation. The document states a prediction: an event, by a date or within a horizon, in the document’s own words. The record is dated by the document, never by the target date. It documents what the text states and when; it says nothing about whether the event happened, and it implies no agreement or influence.

Date. Publication date of the text.

Record ID pr-f-openai-2023-governance-ten-years