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Max More’s comment says that Vinge, like Good, expects an immediate intelligence explosion leading to a total transformation of the world, doubts both assumptions, and finds a move straight from human-level AI to drastically superintelligent thinkers doubtful. Copy claim link
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Supporting evidence: primary · 1 source
Date 1998 · publication Wording attested 2000-08-17. The quoted wording is attested by the earliest capture of the page, of 2000-08-17. Role Contesting Register (kind of text) Nonfiction Scope of the passage Doubts an immediate explosion and a total transformation. Engagement Engages a premise. Gives reasons against the premise that human-level AI leads immediately to drastically superhuman intelligence: fast minds still need experiments and cooperation, and human-level cognitive scientists have not raised their own intelligence. Scope and limits More accepts that human-level AI will come. The wording is attested only from 2000. Yudkowsky’s message of 1998-09-07 credits a challenge by More with prompting Coding a Transhuman AI.
The evidence 01 primary source Supports the claim
Comments on Vinge’s Singularity ↗ Robin Hanson (collection for Extropy Online) · 1998
Archived copy, captured 2000-08-17: Comments on Vinge’s Singularity ↗
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Source excerpt “Vinge, like I.J. Good, expects an immediate intelligence explosion leading to a total transformation of the world. I have doubts about both of these assumptions. [...] to move from this immediately to drastically superintelligent thinkers seems to me doubtful.” Location in source Section "Comment by Max More" ("Singularity Meets Economy"), paragraphs following the opening quotation from Vinge
Machine-checked · 2026-10-06
Source details and check notes Authors Max More Version Raw Internet Archive capture of 2000-08-17, the earliest listed for the page, retrieved 2026-10-06; the current page was also retrieved, with the hash recorded by the 1996–2022 candidate search. Kept on hanson.gmu.edu. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-06 Language English (en) Archive copy Open archived copy, captured 2000-08-17: Comments on Vinge’s Singularity ↗ . An archive copy shows only what the archive retrieved on 2000-08-17. It does not prove what the page said earlier, and it can differ from the copy checked on 2026-10-06.Attribution Max More, "Singularity Meets Economy", in Comments on Vinge’s Singularity (1998). Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Re-verified in the capture of 2000-08-17 on 2026-10-06. Status and meaning Editorial status. Not reviewed by an editor . An exploratory record that no editor has accepted. This status does not say whether a person has read any linked passage. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.
Relation. A passage of the document disputes the proposition or a premise it depends on. The record documents the text’s position, not who is right.
Date. Comments collected in 1998; a message of 1998-09-07 quotes another paragraph of More’s comment.
Record ID ts-a1-more-1998-contests