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Christiano’s post disputes the picture of AI systems that hide their capabilities while lying in wait, arguing that SGD will aggressively select against systems that do not do impressive-looking things. Copy claim link
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Supporting evidence: primary · 1 source
Date 2022-06-19 · publication Role Context Register (kind of text) Nonfiction Missing element It disputes a capability leap revealed after concealment, arguing that training exposes less capable precursors first; it states no period for the transition. Scope and limits A conditional disagreement about a capability leap after concealment.
The evidence 01 primary source Supports the claim
Where I agree and disagree with Eliezer ↗ Alignment Forum and LessWrong · 2022-06-19
Archived copy, captured 2022-06-19: Where I agree and disagree with Eliezer ↗
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Source excerpt “AI systems avoid making major technical contributions, or revealing the extent of their capabilities, because they are lying in wait to cause trouble later. But [...] SGD will be aggressively selecting against any AI systems who don't do impressive-looking stuff.” Location in source Section "Disagreements", bullet beginning "One important factor seems to be"
Machine-checked · 2026-10-06
Source details and check notes Authors Paul Christiano Version Text checked in the post’s first stored version through the LessWrong GraphQL API on 2026-10-06. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-06 Language English (en) Archive copy Open archived copy, captured 2022-06-19: Where I agree and disagree with Eliezer ↗ . Captured on the recorded publication date. An archive copy shows only what the archive retrieved on 2022-06-19. It does not prove what the page said earlier, and it can differ from the copy checked on 2026-10-06.Attribution Paul Christiano, "Where I agree and disagree with Eliezer", Alignment Forum and LessWrong, 2022-06-19. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes The same passage as the B1 and B2 records. Status and meaning Editorial status. Not reviewed by an editor . An exploratory record that no editor has accepted. This status does not say whether a person has read any linked passage. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.
Relation. A passage of the document bears on the proposition without meeting its criterion; the record names the missing element. It is not an articulation and implies no influence.
Date. Posting time 2022-06-19T19:15:55Z; the quotes also match a capture of the posting day.
Record ID ts-a4-christiano-2022-context