Choose an institution to see its records and dossier, or choose a topic.
Through year 2027 · all records, including scheduled dates 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2008 2005 1965 Show Organisations and infrastructure All types Organisation Person Document Concept Infrastructure Public body Reset filters
94 people, organisations and other records · 122 relationships · 34 claims about a valueEverything recorded up to the chosen year, whether or not still in effect · Undated records included
Claim and evidence Close ×
Hanson’s post summarises Yudkowsky’s scenario of a single AI growing within roughly a week from unimportant to strong enough to take over the world, and rejects that growth rate as far beyond what most AI researchers, growth economists or other specialists would estimate. Copy claim link
Copy claim reference
Machine-checked, not reviewed by an editor Stated in source Supported
Supporting evidence: primary · 1 source
Date 2008-12 · publication Wording attested Only in a later, undated copy. Wording checked in the current re-hosted page and in MIRI’s 2013 collection; no 2008 capture was compared. Role Contesting Register (kind of text) Nonfiction Scope of the passage Rejects the growth rate of the week-long seed-AI scenario. Engagement Engages a premise. Gives reasons against the premise of a week-long transition to world-dominating capability: the growth rate exceeds specialists’ estimates and historical trends, and the supporting growth math leaves out diminishing returns. Scope and limits Hanson’s own argument, contesting the scenario’s speed and its seed-AI premise.
The evidence 01 primary source Supports the claim
What Core Argument? ↗ Overcoming Bias · 2008-12
Copy source reference
Cite the original source Cite the original document, not Selekoa. Check these details against it.
Copy APA
Download BibTeX Download RIS Download CSL-JSON
Source excerpt “a single AI to within roughly a week grow from unimportant to strong enough to take over the world. [...] This amazing growth rate [...] is far beyond what the vast majority of AI researchers, growth economists, or most any other specialists would estimate.” Location in source First paragraph; chapter 53 of the MIRI collection, printed p. 397
Machine-checked · 2026-10-06
Source details and check notes Authors Robin Hanson Version Current page on Substack, reached from the 2008 address and retrieved 2026-10-06; its bytes differ from the 1996–2022 candidate search’s retrieval while the quoted text matches. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-06 Language English (en) Attribution Robin Hanson, "What Core Argument?", Overcoming Bias, December 2008. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Checked against the current page on 2026-10-06. Status and meaning Editorial status. Not reviewed by an editor . An exploratory record that no editor has accepted. This status does not say whether a person has read any linked passage. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.
Relation. A passage of the document disputes the proposition or a premise it depends on. The record documents the text’s position, not who is right.
Date. The current Overcoming Bias page shows 11 December 2008 and MIRI’s 2013 collection prints 10 December 2008; recorded at month precision while the difference is unresolved.
Record ID ts-a4-hanson-2008-core-argument-contests