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Miller’s 1995 forecast comment treats the singularity as the uncertain centre of a cluster of technological events, and expects successful uploads and uploads running a thousand times faster to arrive at about the same time. Copy claim link
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Supporting evidence: primary · 1 source
Date 1995 · publication Role Context Register (kind of text) Nonfiction Missing element Closely clustered technological events and fast uploads, without a transition period from human level to far superhuman AI. Scope and limits Miller leaves "Singularity" undefined, offering general molecular assembly as one candidate for the centre of the cluster, so the comment does not tie the singularity to AI; Miller doubts that uploads and AI designed without uploading will be cleanly distinct.
The evidence 01 primary source Supports the claim
Extropy, no. 15 (scan), "Future Forecasts" ↗ Extropy · 1995
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Paraphrase Miller treats the singularity as the uncertain centre of clustered events, with general molecular assembly as one candidate; Miller expects successful uploads and thousand-fold faster uploads at about the same time, and doubts that the upload/AI distinction will be clean in practice.
Location in source p. 12, "MARK MILLER", and p. 13 lower left (PDF pages 10–11)
Machine-checked · 2026-10-06
Source details and check notes Authors K. Eric Drexler; Mark Miller; other contributors Version Photographic scan of the issue; printed pp. 10–13 (PDF pages 8–11) read by the pre-1996 candidate search and a machine check. Copy hosted at diyhpl.us. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-06 Language English (en) Attribution Extropy no. 15 (2nd–3rd quarter 1995), "Future Forecasts". Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata and labelled paraphrases only: the inspected scan is a third-party copy whose permission to host is not established. Phrases in quotation marks inside a paraphrase identify the source's wording. Check notes Paraphrase from the pre-1996 candidate search, with additions after a machine check. Status and meaning Editorial status. Not reviewed by an editor . An exploratory record that no editor has accepted. This status does not say whether a person has read any linked passage. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.
Relation. A passage of the document bears on the proposition without meeting its criterion; the record names the missing element. It is not an articulation and implies no influence.
Date. Printed footers: 2nd–3rd Quarter 1995.
Record ID ts-a4-miller-1995-context