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94 people, organisations and other records · 122 relationships · 34 claims about a valueEverything recorded up to the chosen year, whether or not still in effect · Undated records included
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Vinge’s 1983 column projects the arrival of superhuman intelligence within decades. Copy claim link
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Supporting evidence: primary · 1 source
Date 1983-01 · publication Role Context Register (kind of text) Nonfiction Missing element The first superhuman intelligence is projected 20–100 years away; the length of the transition after it is not given. Scope and limits An arrival forecast, not a transition period.
The evidence 01 primary source Supports the claim
First Word (Omni, January 1983, p. 10) ↗ Omni · 1983-01
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Paraphrase The column projects the first superhuman intelligence 20 to 100 years away.
Location in source Omni p. 10, middle column
Machine-checked · 2026-10-06
Source details and check notes Authors Vernor Vinge Version One-page scan hosted by gwern.net, read as an image by the pre-1996 candidate search and a later machine check. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-06 Language English (en) Attribution Vernor Vinge, "First Word", Omni, January 1983, p. 10. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata and labelled paraphrases only: the inspected scan is a third-party copy whose permission to host is not established. Phrases in quotation marks inside a paraphrase identify the source's wording. Check notes Paraphrase from the pre-1996 candidate search. Status and meaning Editorial status. Not reviewed by an editor . An exploratory record that no editor has accepted. This status does not say whether a person has read any linked passage. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.
Relation. A passage of the document bears on the proposition without meeting its criterion; the record names the missing element. It is not an articulation and implies no influence.
Date. Omni, January 1983, p. 10, according to Vinge’s 2005 bibliography; the scan shows the byline, column title and page but no masthead.
Record ID ts-a4-vinge-1983-context