Choose an institution to see its records and dossier, or choose a topic.
Through year 2027 · all records, including scheduled dates 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2008 2005 1965 Show Organisations and infrastructure All types Organisation Person Document Concept Infrastructure Public body Reset filters
94 people, organisations and other records · 122 relationships · 34 claims about a valueEverything recorded up to the chosen year, whether or not still in effect · Undated records included
Claim and evidence Close ×
Yudkowsky’s message of 1998-09-07 expects a bottleneck followed by a sharp snap upwards that passes human intelligence rapidly before halting at a level sufficient for rapid infrastructure. Copy claim link
Copy claim reference
Machine-checked, not reviewed by an editor Stated in source Supported
Supporting evidence: primary · 1 source
Date 1998-09-07 · publication Role Context Register (kind of text) Nonfiction Missing element A sharp snap upwards that passes human level rapidly, without a period of hours to months. Scope and limits Argued against Max More’s doubt, quoted in the message, that human-level AI implies an immediate jump.
The evidence 01 primary source Supports the claim
Human AI to superhuman (Re: Max More) (Extropians mailing list) ↗ Extropians mailing list · 1998-09-07
Archived copy, captured 2015-04-28: Human AI to superhuman (Re: Max More) (Extropians mailing list) ↗
Copy source reference
Cite the original source Cite the original document, not Selekoa. Check these details against it.
Copy APA
Download BibTeX Download RIS Download CSL-JSON
Source excerpt “My estimated result is a bottleneck followed by a sharp snap upwards, rather than a steady increase; and that the "snap" will occur short of humanity and pass it rapidly before halting; and that when the snap halts, it will be at an intelligence level sufficient for rapid infrastructure.” Location in source Message body, summary paragraph of extracts from "Singularity Analysis"
Machine-checked · 2026-10-06
Source details and check notes Authors Eliezer S. Yudkowsky Version Archive HTML as served, retrieved 2026-10-06 with the hash recorded by the 1996–2022 candidate search; quoted lines excluded when reading the author’s text. Archive at extropians.weidai.com. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-06 Language English (en) Archive copy Open archived copy, captured 2015-04-28: Human AI to superhuman (Re: Max More) (Extropians mailing list) ↗ . Captured 6077 days after the recorded publication date. An archive copy shows only what the archive retrieved on 2015-04-28. It does not prove what the page said earlier, and it can differ from the copy checked on 2026-10-06.Attribution Eliezer S. Yudkowsky, "Human AI to superhuman (Re: Max More)", Extropians mailing list, 1998-09-07. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Checked against the archive HTML on 2026-10-06 (hash matched the 1996–2022 candidate search). Status and meaning Editorial status. Not reviewed by an editor . An exploratory record that no editor has accepted. This status does not say whether a person has read any linked passage. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.
Relation. A passage of the document bears on the proposition without meeting its criterion; the record names the missing element. It is not an articulation and implies no influence.
Date. Sent header: Mon, 07 Sep 1998 23:24:22 -0500 (sender-local date); archive receipt Mon Sep 7 22:24:20 1998 MDT.
Record ID ts-a4-yudkowsky-1998-09-07-2209-context