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Yudkowsky’s post of 2008-12-01 says that at some point AI development is likely to see a fast, local increase in capability, "AI go FOOM", and that fast means weeks or hours rather than years or decades. Copy claim link
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Machine-checked, not reviewed by an editor Stated in source Supported
Supporting evidence: primary · 1 source
Date 2008-12-01 · publication Role Articulation Register (kind of text) Nonfiction Scope and limits States the claim with an explicit timescale; it argues and does not report evidence.
The evidence 01 primary source Supports the claim
Recursive Self-Improvement ↗ Overcoming Bias · 2008-12-01
Archived copy, captured 2019-04-27: Recursive Self-Improvement ↗
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Source excerpt “I think that at some point in the development of Artificial Intelligence, we are likely to see a fast, local increase in capability - "AI go FOOM". Just to be clear on the claim, "fast" means on a timescale of weeks or hours rather than years or decades” Location in source Opening paragraph
Machine-checked · 2026-10-06
Source details and check notes Authors Eliezer Yudkowsky Version Text checked in the post’s first stored version through the LessWrong GraphQL API on 2026-10-06; content version 1.0.0. Now hosted on LessWrong. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-06 Language English (en) Archive copy Open archived copy, captured 2019-04-27: Recursive Self-Improvement ↗ . Captured 3799 days after the recorded publication date. An archive copy shows only what the archive retrieved on 2019-04-27. It does not prove what the page said earlier, and it can differ from the copy checked on 2026-10-06.Attribution Eliezer Yudkowsky, "Recursive Self-Improvement", Overcoming Bias (now hosted on LessWrong), 2008-12-01. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Checked against the first stored version on 2026-10-06. Status and meaning Editorial status. Not reviewed by an editor . An exploratory record that no editor has accepted. This status does not say whether a person has read any linked passage. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.
Relation. A passage of the document meets the proposition’s criterion. The record documents what the text states, in its register (fiction and satire are labelled); it is not evidence that the proposition is true and implies no influence on or from another text.
Date. LessWrong posting time 2008-12-01T20:49:11Z of the imported Overcoming Bias post.
Record ID ts-a4-yudkowsky-2008-rsi