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Cotra’s post says that as transformative AI approaches, applying AI systems to R&D, including AI R&D, would accelerate change and force every decision under greater time pressure, so that truly unmistakable evidence may be needed to generate the will not to deploy. Copy claim link
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Supporting evidence: primary · 1 source
Date 2022-07-18 · publication Role Most developed Register (kind of text) Nonfiction Scope and limits The scenario has copies of "Alex" automate R&D, including machine-learning research itself. The fullest treatment located; an editorial judgement.
The evidence 01 primary source Supports the claim
Without specific countermeasures, the easiest path to transformative AI likely leads to AI takeover ↗ Alignment Forum and LessWrong · 2022-07-18
Archived copy, captured 2022-07-18: Without specific countermeasures, the easiest path to transformative AI likely leads to AI takeover ↗
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Source excerpt “And as we get closer to transformative AI, applying AI systems to R&D (including AI R&D) would accelerate the pace of change and force every decision to happen under greater time pressure. Under these circumstances, we may need truly unmistakable evidence to generate the will to not deploy such models” Location in source Final section, paragraph on why caution may be hard
Machine-checked · 2026-10-06
Source details and check notes Authors Ajeya Cotra Version Text checked in the post’s first stored version through the LessWrong GraphQL API on 2026-10-06; content version 1.0.0. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-06 Language English (en) Archive copy Open archived copy, captured 2022-07-18: Without specific countermeasures, the easiest path to transformative AI likely leads to AI takeover ↗ . Captured on the recorded publication date. An archive copy shows only what the archive retrieved on 2022-07-18. It does not prove what the page said earlier, and it can differ from the copy checked on 2026-10-06.Attribution Ajeya Cotra, "Without specific countermeasures, the easiest path to transformative AI likely leads to AI takeover", Alignment Forum and LessWrong, 2022-07-18. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Checked against the first stored version on 2026-10-06. Status and meaning Editorial status. Not reviewed by an editor . An exploratory record that no editor has accepted. This status does not say whether a person has read any linked passage. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.
Relation. A passage of the document meets the proposition’s criterion. The record documents what the text states, in its register (fiction and satire are labelled); it is not evidence that the proposition is true and implies no influence on or from another text.
Date. Posting time 2022-07-18T19:06:14Z.
Record ID ts-a5-cotra-2022