Choose an institution to see its records and dossier, or choose a topic.
Through year 2027 · all records, including scheduled dates 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2008 2005 1965 Show Organisations and infrastructure All types Organisation Person Document Concept Infrastructure Public body Reset filters
94 people, organisations and other records · 122 relationships · 34 claims about a valueEverything recorded up to the chosen year, whether or not still in effect · Undated records included
Claim and evidence Close ×
Christiano’s post contrasts the fast-takeoff view that whoever builds AGI has a decisive strategic advantage with a slow takeoff, in which being twelve months ahead might give such an advantage but is about as hard as building aeroplanes thirty years before anyone else. Copy claim link
Copy claim reference
Machine-checked, not reviewed by an editor Stated in source Supported
Supporting evidence: primary · 1 source
Date 2018-02-24 · publication Role Contesting Register (kind of text) Nonfiction Scope of the passage Contests the decisive-advantage picture under a slow takeoff. Engagement Engages a premise. Gives a reason against the premise that the first developer of AGI gains a decisive advantage: under a slow takeoff the world will have accelerated so much that a twelve-month lead is as hard as reaching aeroplanes thirty years early. Scope and limits Conditional on Christiano’s slow-takeoff scenario.
The evidence 01 primary source Supports the claim
Takeoff speeds ↗ The sideways view (Paul Christiano’s blog) · 2018-02-24
Archived copy, captured 2018-02-25: Takeoff speeds ↗
Copy source reference
Cite the original source Cite the original document, not Selekoa. Check these details against it.
Copy APA
Download BibTeX Download RIS Download CSL-JSON
Source excerpt “Being 12 months ahead in AGI might get you a decisive strategic advantage, but the world has accelerated so much that that’s just about as hard as getting to airplanes 30 years before anyone else.” Location in source Section "Slow takeoff", paragraph before "Operationalizing slow takeoff"
Machine-checked · 2026-10-06
Source details and check notes Authors Paul Christiano Version Current page, retrieved 2026-10-06; its bytes differ from the 1996–2022 candidate search’s retrieval while the quoted text matches. A machine check compared the capture of 2018-02-25, which was retrieved again on 2026-10-06. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-06 Language English (en) Archive copy Open archived copy, captured 2018-02-25: Takeoff speeds ↗ . Captured 1 day after the recorded publication date. An archive copy shows only what the archive retrieved on 2018-02-25. It does not prove what the page said earlier, and it can differ from the copy checked on 2026-10-06.Attribution Paul Christiano, "Takeoff speeds", The sideways view, 24 February 2018. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Checked against the current page on 2026-10-06; the 1996–2022 candidate search cites this sentence in its note. Status and meaning Editorial status. Not reviewed by an editor . An exploratory record that no editor has accepted. This status does not say whether a person has read any linked passage. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.
Relation. A passage of the document disputes the proposition or a premise it depends on. The record documents the text’s position, not who is right.
Date. The page shows "Posted on February 24, 2018" and an update of 27 February 2018; quotes also match the capture of 2018-02-25.
Record ID ts-a6-christiano-2018-takeoff-contests