The Seven Deadly Sins of Predicting the Future of AI
An essay by Rodney Brooks, Author's blog, dated 7 September 2017. Date printed on the author's blog page.
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- The Seven Deadly Sins of Predicting the Future of AI Author's blog (rodneybrooks.com), essay in the series Future of Robotics and Artificial Intelligence · published 2017-09-07 · Retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-29 (SHA-256 eeda8eb3461fe97e8c91422f74cccc25acd03e96100f646c952147b6c90600e0). Current blog page dated September 7, 2017 (text: "As I write these words on September 2nd, 2017"); retrieved 2026-10-29. The cross-family check retrieved it again on 2026-10-31; the bytes differ, and the check compared the quoted passages.
Appears in
- Propositions about superintelligence, 1863–2022 →1 record on this document
- Arguments about catastrophic risk from advanced AI →3 records on this document
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Cited by · 1
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- Many Experts Say We Shouldn’t Worry About Superintelligent AI. They’re WrongRussell's article of 8 October 2019 replies to Brooks, whom it names, quoting the sentence of Brooks's post of 7 September 2017 on a program smart enough to subvert human society.2019-10-08 · publication · Stated in source · Supported Inspect claim & evidence ↗Russell, Many Experts Say We Shouldn’t Worry About Superintelligent AI (IEEE Spectrum, 2019): document page →
Articulates · 1
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- Takeoff will be gradualBrooks's essay of September 2017 states that, if superintelligent devices are eventually built, they will evolve technologically over time in a world already changed and populated by many other intelligences, so that their existence will not come as a sudden surprise.2017-09-07 · publication · Stated in source · Supported Inspect claim & evidence ↗Takeoff will be gradual: propositions page →
Contests · 1
Propositions a passage of this document disputes, or a premise they depend on.
- Fast or hard takeoffBrooks's essay of September 2017 argues that abundant computing power does not mean programs are close to doing AI research and rewriting their own code, and describes belief in the singularity as resting on exponentialism.2017-09-07 · publication · Stated in source · Supported Inspect claim & evidence ↗Fast or hard takeoff: propositions page →
Bears on · 1
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- Orthogonality of intelligence and goalsBrooks's post of 7 September 2017 argues that no real program could be smart enough to subvert human society to achieve goals set for it by humans without understanding how it was causing problems for those humans.2017-09-07 · publication · Stated in source · Supported Inspect claim & evidence ↗Orthogonality of intelligence and goals: propositions page →
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