Is Power-Seeking AI an Existential Risk?
A preprint by Joseph Carlsmith, arXiv:2206.13353, dated 16 June 2022. arXiv v1 stamp; the report is headed "April 2021", and its abstract says it was made public in April 2021.
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- Is Power-Seeking AI an Existential Risk? arXiv:2206.13353 · published 2022-06-16 · Retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-29 (SHA-256 3f434a070cd7842908e648eba79ecdddcb62ba09681cca86dfd18485157b9887). arXiv v1 PDF (2206.13353v1, 16 Jun 2022), which includes a "May 2022 update" to the abstract; the report is headed April 2021. The cross-family check retrieved it again on 2026-10-31, with the same bytes.
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- Existential risk from misalignment or loss of controlCarlsmith's report (arXiv, June 2022) sets out a six-premise argument that misaligned, power-seeking AI systems could disempower humanity by 2070, and assigns the outcome a subjective probability of about 5%, revised in May 2022 to more than 10%.2022-06-16 · publication · Stated in source · Supported Inspect claim & evidence ↗Existential risk from misalignment or loss of control: propositions page →
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