Evidence that LLMs are reaching a point of diminishing returns - and what that might mean
A blog post by Gary Marcus, Marcus on AI, dated 13 April 2024. post_date in the Substack page metadata.
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- Evidence that LLMs are reaching a point of diminishing returns - and what that might mean Marcus on AI (author's Substack) · published 2024-04-13 · Retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-29 (SHA-256 ff3b3fdf0252907883facf0d0c04a140339f896223e810b11e5a47b29a391332). Current Substack page, dated 2024-04-13 in its metadata; retrieved 2026-10-29.
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- Arguments about catastrophic risk from advanced AI →1 record on this document
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- Capabilities will plateauMarcus's post of April 2024 reads benchmark results from GPT-2 to GPT-4 Turbo as tentative evidence that large language models have reached a period of diminishing returns, and states that the wall he wrote of in 2022 may be approaching.2024-04-13 · publication · Stated in source · Supported Inspect claim & evidence ↗Capabilities will plateau: propositions page →
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