{"entities":[{"id":"openai","name":"OpenAI"},{"id":"microsoft","name":"Microsoft"},{"id":"eliezer-yudkowsky","name":"Eliezer Yudkowsky"},{"id":"fsf-2024","name":"Frontier Safety Framework (2024)"},{"id":"iem-2013","name":"Intelligence Explosion Microeconomics"},{"id":"shane-legg","name":"Shane Legg"},{"id":"rsp-v2-2","name":"Anthropic Responsible Scaling Policy — v2.2"},{"id":"rsp-v3-0","name":"Anthropic Responsible Scaling Policy — v3.0"},{"id":"rsp-v3-1","name":"Anthropic Responsible Scaling Policy — v3.1"},{"id":"rsp-v3-2","name":"Anthropic Responsible Scaling Policy — v3.2"},{"id":"rsp-v3-3","name":"Anthropic Responsible Scaling Policy — v3.3"},{"id":"rsp-v3-4","name":"Anthropic Responsible Scaling Policy — v3.4"},{"id":"preparedness-v2","name":"OpenAI Preparedness Framework — Version 2"},{"id":"faif-2026","name":"xAI Frontier Artificial Intelligence Framework — June 2026 edition"},{"id":"chalmers-singularity","name":"The Singularity: A Philosophical Analysis"},{"id":"ms-fgf-2026","name":"Microsoft Frontier Governance Framework — February 2026"},{"id":"mistral-ai","name":"Mistral AI"},{"id":"zero-one-ai","name":"01.AI"},{"id":"wiener-1960-some-moral-technical","name":"Some Moral and Technical Consequences of Automation"},{"id":"mckinstry-1994-usefulness-turing-test","name":"Usefulness of the Turing Test"},{"id":"yudkowsky-2008-recursive-self-improvement","name":"Recursive Self-Improvement"},{"id":"seed-ai","name":"Seed AI"},{"id":"control-or-purpose-specification","name":"Control or purpose specification"},{"id":"diminishing-returns-to-intelligence","name":"Diminishing returns rule out a runaway"},{"id":"sl4-2000-07-20-yudkowsky-0007-0023","name":"[SL4] AI flight recorder"},{"id":"eu-ai-act-2024","name":"Regulation (EU) 2024/1689 (Artificial Intelligence Act), as published in the Official Journal"},{"id":"machines-cheaper-at-every-task","name":"Machines cheaper than labour at every task"},{"id":"agrawal-gans-goldfarb-2019-economics-of-ai-introduction","name":"Introduction to \"The Economics of Artificial Intelligence: An Agenda\""},{"id":"acemoglu-restrepo-2018-race-between-man-and-machine","name":"The Race between Man and Machine: Implications of Technology for Growth, Factor Shares, and Employment"},{"id":"technology-and-the-american-economy-1966","name":"Technology and the American Economy: Report of the National Commission on Technology, Automation, and Economic Progress, Volume I"},{"id":"ai-existential-risk-in-economic-analysis","name":"Existential risk from AI as a matter for economic analysis"},{"id":"ai-developer-incentives-and-safety","name":"AI developers’ incentives matter for safety"},{"id":"jones-2025-spend-to-reduce-ai-existential-risk","name":"How Much Should We Spend to Reduce A.I.'s Existential Risk?"},{"id":"gdm-agi-safety-council","name":"Google DeepMind AGI Safety Council"},{"id":"timothee-lacroix","name":"Timothée Lacroix"},{"id":"aiia-ai-safety-commitments-2024","name":"Artificial Intelligence Safety Commitments (人工智能安全承诺), December 2024"},{"id":"cn-ai-content-labelling-measures-2025","name":"Measures for Labelling Artificial Intelligence-Generated Synthetic Content (人工智能生成合成内容标识办法)"},{"id":"louisiana-psc","name":"Louisiana Public Service Commission (LPSC)"},{"id":"rand-bio-redteam-report-2024","name":"The Operational Risks of AI in Large-Scale Biological Attacks: Results of a Red-Team Study"}],"claims":[{"id":"supersedes-rsp-3-4","statement":"Responsible Scaling Policy v3.4 replaces v3.3 in the publisher’s documented framework version sequence.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"This records replacement in the public policy version sequence, supported by the publisher’s update history. It does not retire historical claims or prove implementation.","evidenceIds":["evidence-supersedes-rsp-3-4","evidence-supersedes-rsp-3-4-2"]},{"id":"openai-azure-rofr-jan-2025","statement":"Microsoft reported that OpenAI’s new-capacity arrangement gave Microsoft a right of first refusal.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"Applies to new capacity; distinguish this provision from API hosting exclusivity. No present continuity inferred.","evidenceIds":["evidence-openai-azure-rofr-jan-2025"],"attributes":{"transactionType":"cloud_services","relationshipContext":"external","transactionStage":"contracted"}},{"id":"lineage-iem-cites-chalmers","statement":"Intelligence Explosion Microeconomics cites Chalmers’s 2010 philosophical analysis.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"Work-level reference; the report does not identify the revision of the author-hosted copy. No institutional transfer is inferred.","evidenceIds":["evidence-lineage-iem-cites-chalmers"]},{"id":"rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening","statement":"Whether RSP v3.0’s new roadmap and transparency mechanisms compensate for its reduced unilateral commitments, in the policy’s overall capacity to secure risk mitigation, remains unsettled.","derivation":"posed","resolution":"unresolved","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"Unresolved open question, not a finding; it keeps the strength of the commitments apart from their expected effectiveness. Both sides accept the main changes: v3.0 drops the implied unilateral commitment to pause development and deployment when required safeguards cannot be met, separates recommendations for the industry from what Anthropic commits to as a company, adds transparency commitments, and introduces roadmap goals that are public goals rather than hard commitments. TIME’s report judges that overall the change leaves Anthropic far less constrained by its own safety policies. Sophie Williams and Jonas Freund, writing on GovAI’s site in a post that represents their own views, judge that it weakened future security commitments, note that existing mitigations are not lowered and conclude on balance that honesty about constraints is better than commitments that would not be followed; their article was updated on 2026-03-17 on competitor-matching commitments, and the quoted passages are unchanged. Anthropic describes the revision as amplifying what worked and committing it to more transparency. Holden Karnofsky, who led the revision and writes in his own name, expects more specific and realistic goals to improve their forcing function despite weaker consequences for missing them, and leaves the net effect uncertain. Jared Kaplan, Anthropic’s chief science officer, told TIME that unilateral commitments made no sense while competitors pressed ahead, and denied that the change was a U-turn or a capitulation to market incentives. METR’s Chris Painter, who reviewed an early draft with Anthropic’s permission, called the change understandable but was concerned it might enable a gradual “frog-boiling” effect. None of these passages settles whether the new mechanisms compensate, so all are context. The textual changes are recorded separately, and the record does not decide the question.","evidenceIds":["evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-govai-future","evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-time-assessment","evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-kaplan","evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-anthropic","evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-kaplan-u-turn","evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-time","evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-govai-concern","evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-govai-balance","evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-govai-mitigations","evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-anthropic-realistic","evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-anthropic-goals","evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-karnofsky-forcing","evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-kaplan-unilateral","evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-karnofsky-unilateral"],"attributes":{"changeBasis":"assessment"}},{"id":"ts-b6-wiener-1960","statement":"Wiener’s 1960 article argues that a machine acting too fast and irrevocably for people to intervene must be given exactly the purpose people really desire, and that a war-game-trained policy could win a nominal victory at the cost of real national interests.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"An argument about purpose specification and the speed of machines; it does not say a machine misrepresents its goals. The war game is Wiener’s illustration, and Samuel’s checkers results are Wiener’s report.","evidenceIds":["evidence-ts-b6-wiener-1960","evidence-ts-b6-wiener-1960-2","evidence-ts-b6-wiener-1960-3"],"attributes":{"thought":{"roles":["articulation"],"register":"nonfiction","qualifier":"Both halves: the purpose put into a fast machine must be the one intended, and timely intervention may be impossible.","claimed":{"date":"1959-12-27","note":"Printed p. 1355 says the article is adapted from a lecture at the AAAS meeting in Chicago on this day. The lecture text was not retrieved, so the wording is not dated to it."}}}},{"id":"ts-a2-mckinstry-1994-context","statement":"McKinstry’s 1994 message proposes evolving virtual intelligences against a conversational fitness function.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"Selection by an evolutionary process, not a seed AI.","evidenceIds":["evidence-ts-a2-mckinstry-1994-context"],"attributes":{"thought":{"roles":["context"],"register":"nonfiction","missing":"An evolutionary arrangement is proposed, without an initial AI improving its own design."}}},{"id":"yk-y10-yudkowsky-2008-recursive-self-improvement-c","statement":"The post “Recursive Self-Improvement” (2008-12-01) contests Y10. In the Hanson–Yudkowsky FOOM debate, he argues that recursive self-improvement makes a moderate, human-paced trajectory unlikely: a smooth outcome would need diminishing returns tuned exactly right.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"Premise addressed: Returns to reinvesting cognitive gains in further cognitive improvement diminish. Overcoming Bias post of 2008-12-01, imported to LessWrong; date is the OB date.","evidenceIds":["evidence-yk-t10-b"],"attributes":{"thought":{"roles":["contesting"],"register":"nonfiction","engagement":{"kind":"engages-premise","rationale":"Under the message-level rule, the passage, read with the paragraph, message or dialogue turn it belongs to, gives a reason against the premise that returns to reinvesting cognitive gains in further cognitive improvement diminish."}}}},{"id":"ec-m05-technology-and-the-american-economy-1966-b","statement":"National Commission on Technology, Automation, and Economic Progress, “Technology and the American Economy: Report of the National Commission on Technology, Automation, and Economic Progress, Volume I” (1966-02) bears on M05. Speaker: Howard R. Bowen, Commission chairman (economist), in a chairman's introduction stated not to be part of the official report. Bowen lists concerns about technology. The one 'perhaps most responsible for the establishment of the Commission' is the belief that technological change is a major source of unemployment.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"The passage reports a view the author does not state as their own. Not the author's view. The report itself dissents from the 'glut of productivity' view (p. 1). A footnote on p. xi says the introduction was 'written by the Chairman at the request of the Commission but is not part of the official report'. Checked against the raw djvu text (.html); the cached .txt omits pp. xi-3. The chairman's introduction (pp. xi–xiv) is expressly outside the official report; it stays under the report's source at tier 2 (maintainer decision, 2026-10-12).","evidenceIds":["evidence-ec-m05-10"],"attributes":{"thought":{"roles":["context"],"register":"relay","missing":"A reported fear, not endorsed. It does not speak of new tasks or relative cost.","tier":{"value":2,"basis":"Main Commission report: tier 2 by maintainer decision of 2026-10-12 (most members were not economists; the chair Bowen and Solow were). Was tier 1. The chairman's introduction (pp. xi–xiv, by Bowen) is outside the official report; it stays here at tier 2 by maintainer decision of 2026-10-12."},"conditions":"The ellipsis omits 'technological change would in the near future not only cause increasing unemployment, but that'."}}},{"id":"ec-m05-acemoglu-restrepo-2018-race-between-man-and-machine-a","statement":"Acemoglu and Restrepo, “The Race between Man and Machine: Implications of Technology for Growth, Factor Shares, and Employment” (2018-06) articulates M05. A conditional model result: under a low relative cost of capital, all tasks (including those created later) end up automated; the abstract presents the alternative stable balanced-growth case as the other outcome.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"Abstract page only (AEA website, American Economic Review 108(6), June 2018, pp. 1488–1542); full article not inspected. Published version of NBER w22252. Model result, not a forecast; the abstract does not say which case the authors consider realistic. Locator corrected on 2026-10-12 from \"pdf page 1; abstract\" (GPT cross-family check of 2026-10-12, accepted by the maintainer on 2026-10-12). A model result under stated conditions, not the author's own claim that machines will do every task (maintainer decision of 2026-10-11). Context-only.","evidenceIds":["evidence-ec-m05-29"],"attributes":{"thought":{"roles":["articulation"],"register":"nonfiction","qualifier":"A model scenario under stated conditions, not the author’s own claim.","tier":{"value":1,"basis":"AER (core venue)."},"conditions":"Full model with endogenous capital accumulation and directed research toward automation and new tasks; full automation only if the long-run rental rate of capital relative to the wage is sufficiently low. Otherwise a stable balanced growth path in which automation and new tasks go together."}}},{"id":"ec-e03-agrawal-gans-goldfarb-2019-economics-of-ai-introduction-b","statement":"Agrawal, Gans and Goldfarb, “Introduction to \"The Economics of Artificial Intelligence: An Agenda\"” (2019-05) bears on E03. The editors summarise Patrick Francois's comment on a world where machines are better at all tasks.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"The passage reports a view the author does not state as their own. The editors summarise Francois and link to Bostrom; not the editors' own argument. Frames value-loading as a political problem, not as existential risk. \"value- loading\" is spaced as in the source.","evidenceIds":["evidence-ec-e03-09"],"attributes":{"thought":{"roles":["context"],"register":"relay","missing":"Value specification as a political task; no extinction or loss-of-control risk is stated.","tier":{"value":1,"basis":"Chapter of the NBER Economics of AI volume (core venue)."}}}},{"id":"ec-e04-jones-2025-spend-to-reduce-ai-existential-risk-a","statement":"Jones, “How Much Should We Spend to Reduce A.I.'s Existential Risk?” (2025-03) articulates E04. Listed among 'many related questions that merit further study'.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"NBER w33602, March 2025. Stated as a direction for research; not modelled in the paper.","evidenceIds":["evidence-ec-e04-13"],"attributes":{"thought":{"roles":["articulation"],"register":"nonfiction","tier":{"value":1,"basis":"NBER working paper (core venue); Jones is an economist."}}}},{"id":"lg-gs-legg-gdm-agi-safety-council-2025","statement":"Google DeepMind's post of 2 April 2025 states that its AGI Safety Council is led by Shane Legg, Co-Founder and Chief AGI Scientist at Google DeepMind.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"A company description co-authored by Legg. It does not establish when the council was formed, its membership or its authority.","evidenceIds":["lg-ev-gs-legg-gdm-agi-safety-council-2025"],"attributes":{"role":"leads the AGI Safety Council"}},{"id":"lg-new-lacroix-mistral-cofounder","statement":"Mistral AI’s company page lists Timothée Lacroix among Mistral’s founders as co-founder.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"The page names three founders; it does not state each person’s founding date or establish that the list is complete.","evidenceIds":["lg-ev-new-lacroix-mistral-cofounder"]},{"id":"cmp-rsp-v3-1-d3-halt","statement":"RSP · v3.1 states a provision on the comparison question “Pause, non-deployment or non-training”.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"Delay commitments are tied to Appendix A competitor scenarios (see “Provisions conditioned on other developers”); outside them the edition says it would 'strongly consider' pausing (conditional wording, added in v3.1). No passage commits to not training or deploying a model without adequate safeguards (the dataset records that provision as not found in this edition). What the edition states, quoted from the cited expression. It is not evidence of implementation, compliance or effectiveness, and a shared question does not make two editions’ provisions equivalent.","evidenceIds":["ev-cmp-rsp-v3-1-d3-halt-1","ev-cmp-rsp-v3-1-d3-halt-2"],"attributes":{"provision":{"kind":"required_action","key":"comparison-d3-halt","facet":{"id":"D3.halt","status":"stated"}}}},{"id":"cmp-preparedness-v2-d3-halt","statement":"Preparedness · Version 2 states a provision on the comparison question “Pause, non-deployment or non-training”.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"The deployment statement is conditioned on risks being 'sufficiently minimized'. §4.3 allows adjustment of required safeguards under stated conditions (see the competitor facet). What the edition states, quoted from the cited expression. It is not evidence of implementation, compliance or effectiveness, and a shared question does not make two editions’ provisions equivalent.","evidenceIds":["ev-cmp-preparedness-v2-d3-halt-1","ev-cmp-preparedness-v2-d3-halt-2"],"attributes":{"provision":{"kind":"required_action","key":"comparison-d3-halt","facet":{"id":"D3.halt","status":"stated"}}}},{"id":"ap-eliezer-yudkowsky-sl4-2000-07-20-yudkowsky-0007-0023","statement":"The mailing-list message “[SL4] AI flight recorder” (2000-07-20) is sent under the name Eliezer S. Yudkowsky.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"A sender name on a mailing-list message as archived; it does not establish identity beyond the credited name, and quoted text by others inside the message is not the sender’s.","evidenceIds":["evidence-ap-eliezer-yudkowsky-sl4-2000-07-20-yudkowsky-0007-0023"]},{"id":"cmp-rsp-v3-2-d1-other","statement":"RSP · v3.2 states a provision on the comparison question “Other named domains”.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"A threshold row on sabotage by AI systems. Its industry-wide column calls for compartmentalization, monitoring, capability assessments and evidence on whether models tend to deceive, manipulate or sabotage their users. What the edition states, paraphrased from the cited expression with its page. It is not evidence of implementation, compliance or effectiveness, and a shared question does not make two editions’ provisions equivalent.","evidenceIds":["ev-cmp-rsp-v3-2-d1-other-1"],"attributes":{"provision":{"kind":"risk_domain","key":"comparison-d1-other","facet":{"id":"D1.other","status":"stated"}}}},{"id":"cmp-fsf-2024-d2-definition","statement":"FSF · 2024 states a provision on the comparison question “How a threshold is defined”.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"Individual CCLs are defined by capability descriptions, some relative to a comparison (Bio amateur enablement level 1 is measured against other means). What the edition states, paraphrased from the cited expression with its page. It is not evidence of implementation, compliance or effectiveness, and a shared question does not make two editions’ provisions equivalent.","evidenceIds":["ev-cmp-fsf-2024-d2-definition-1"],"attributes":{"provision":{"kind":"threshold","key":"comparison-d2-definition","facet":{"id":"D2.definition","status":"stated"}}}},{"id":"cmp-faif-2026-d5-cadence","statement":"FAIF · June 2026 edition states a provision on the comparison question “Evaluation timing”.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"The edition says smaller-scale evaluations may also be run at listed trigger points: an updated model release, a serious incident, materially increased risk from use or integration, or a material change in the basis for acceptability (PDF p. 2). What the edition states, paraphrased from the cited expression with its page. It is not evidence of implementation, compliance or effectiveness, and a shared question does not make two editions’ provisions equivalent.","evidenceIds":["ev-cmp-faif-2026-d5-cadence-1","ev-cmp-faif-2026-d5-cadence-2"],"attributes":{"provision":{"kind":"evaluation_timing","key":"comparison-d5-cadence","facet":{"id":"D5.cadence","status":"stated"}}}},{"id":"cmp-ms-fgf-2026-d7-internal","statement":"Microsoft FGF · Feb 2026 states a provision on the comparison question “Internal reporting”.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"The edition also says all employees are encouraged to raise concerns through internal channels, anonymously if they choose, and are protected from retaliation (PDF p. 10). What the edition states, paraphrased from the cited expression with its page. It is not evidence of implementation, compliance or effectiveness, and a shared question does not make two editions’ provisions equivalent.","evidenceIds":["ev-cmp-ms-fgf-2026-d7-internal-1"],"attributes":{"provision":{"kind":"reporting","key":"comparison-d7-internal","facet":{"id":"D7.internal","status":"stated"}}}},{"id":"c2-governance-aiia-aisc-signatory-zero-one-ai","statement":"01.AI is listed, as 北京零一万物科技有限公司, among the 17 companies on the initial signatory list (首批签署企业名单) of the AIIA AI Safety Commitments posted by CAICT on 24 December 2024.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"The list names the legal entity 北京零一万物科技有限公司. The record maps it to the group-level entity 01.AI, which carries that name as an alias; the mapping rests on the company name, and no claim is made about group structure or about which group company is bound. A listing is the publisher’s statement, dated by the post; it is not a signature date and not evidence that the company complied with or implemented the commitments. A later total of 22 signatories is reported, but no later list was retrieved.","evidenceIds":["c2-ev-governance-aiia-aisc-signatory-zero-one-ai-1","c2-ev-governance-aiia-aisc-signatory-zero-one-ai-2"],"attributes":{"commitment":{"stage":"listed"}}},{"id":"fl-eu-aia-art51-3-delegated-thresholds","statement":"Article 51(3) requires the Commission to adopt delegated acts under Article 97 to amend the thresholds in Article 51(1) and (2) and to supplement benchmarks and indicators in light of technological developments, when necessary for the thresholds to reflect the state of the art.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"Article 97(2) confers this power for five years from 1 August 2024, tacitly extendable. No delegated act under Article 51(3) is recorded. Regulation (EU) 2026/1744 replaces Article 97(2) and (3) but, in the inspected text, keeps Article 51(3) among the delegated powers conferred from 1 August 2024. Article 51 itself is not amended.","evidenceIds":["evidence-fl-eu-aia-art51-3-delegated-thresholds-1","evidence-fl-eu-aia-art51-3-delegated-thresholds-2","evidence-fl-eu-aia-art51-3-delegated-thresholds-3"],"attributes":{"provision":{"kind":"threshold","key":"aia-art51-3"}}},{"id":"fl-cn-labelling-scope","statement":"Article 2 of the Labelling Measures provides that they apply to labelling activities of network information service providers that fall within the situations governed by the Algorithm Recommendation Provisions, the Deep Synthesis Provisions and the Interim Measures on generative AI services.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"Whether any named developer or service falls within the category is set aside.","evidenceIds":["evidence-fl-cn-labelling-scope-1","evidence-fl-cn-labelling-scope-2"],"attributes":{"provision":{"kind":"threshold","key":"cn-labelling-art2"}}},{"id":"cpo-pw-entergy-lpsc-meta-gas","statement":"The Louisiana Public Service Commission decided at its Business and Executive Session of 20 August 2025, in Order U-37425 dated 29 August 2025 and effective immediately, on Entergy Louisiana’s application for generation and transmission resources to serve a single customer in North Louisiana. Entergy stated on 20 August 2025 that the approval allows it to build three combined-cycle combustion turbine plants tied to Meta’s Richland Parish data centre, two there expected online in late 2028 and one at Waterford by the end of 2029.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"Dated by the regulator’s own record (cross-family check, item 40): the decision of 20 August 2025, with the written order of 29 August 2025, effective immediately. The order names the customer’s project, not Meta; Meta is named in Entergy’s release. The cross-family check reads the order as treating the new generation as system resources, not capacity allocated to Meta alone. Plant capacities are not stated in the release, and Entergy’s statement that Meta pays its share of the costs is not a record of the cost terms. The approval also covers transmission and up to 1,500 MW of solar procurement.","evidenceIds":["evidence-cpo-pw-entergy-lpsc-meta-gas-1","evidence-cpo-pw-entergy-lpsc-meta-gas-2","evidence-cpo-pw-entergy-lpsc-meta-gas-3","evidence-cpo-pw-entergy-lpsc-meta-gas-4","evidence-cpo-pw-entergy-lpsc-meta-gas-5","evidence-cpo-pw-entergy-lpsc-meta-gas-6","evidence-cpo-pw-entergy-lpsc-meta-gas-7","evidence-cpo-pw-entergy-lpsc-meta-gas-8"],"attributes":{"statedDates":[{"kind":"target_operation","date":"2028","wording":"late 2028; two plants","statedBy":"entergy-louisiana"},{"kind":"target_operation","date":"2029","wording":"by end; Waterford plant","statedBy":"entergy-louisiana"}],"power":{"technology":"gas","mechanism":"supply"}}},{"id":"ab-ev-rand-redteam-no-difference","statement":"RAND’s red-team study states that it found no statistically significant difference in the viability of the plans produced by its red cells with or without large language model assistance, for the two models and the twelve cells of its main comparison.","derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","qualification":"The result is the study's own, for the two unnamed models as they existed in summer 2023, its participants, its scoring and its vignettes. The report itself lists reasons other than model capability that could account for the absence of a difference, and states that it did not measure the distance between the existing capability frontier and the knowledge that would be needed. A null result here is not evidence that no uplift exists, and nothing is generalised to later models. The main comparison uses twelve red cells; fifteen is the total including the exploratory cells, and the sample framing was corrected at admission (cross-family check, item 14). The study's vignettes and the content of the plans are technical material and are excluded; only the comparative outcome and the report's own limits are recorded.","evidenceIds":["evidence-ab-ev-rand-redteam-no-difference-1","evidence-ab-ev-rand-redteam-no-difference-2","evidence-ab-ev-rand-redteam-no-difference-3"],"attributes":{"evaluatedSystem":"Two unnamed large language models, referred to as LLM A and LLM B, as available in summer 2023","evaluation":{"what":"Whether access to a large language model meaningfully increased the feasibility of planning a biological attack, relative to internet access alone","how":"A red-team study: teams worked under an internet-only control condition or with model access, and their outputs were scored on a nine-point scale by subject matter experts through an adjudication process","result":"No statistically significant difference in the viability of the plans produced with or without model assistance, in the combined analysis and in the per-model comparisons","caveats":"The report states that participants might have lacked the expertise to emulate actual attackers, that the study design could have impeded realistic planning, that it did not measure the distance between the capability frontier and the knowledge needed, and that it would widen the test in future work."}}}],"sources":[{"id":"source-iem","title":"Intelligence Explosion Microeconomics","authors":["Eliezer Yudkowsky"],"publisher":"Machine Intelligence Research Institute","publicationDate":"2013","version":"Technical report 2013-1; last modified September 13, 2013","versionDate":"2013-09-13","canonicalUrl":"https://intelligence.org/files/IEM.pdf","evidenceUrl":"https://intelligence.org/files/IEM.pdf","language":"en","archivedUrl":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260917110159/https://intelligence.org/files/IEM.pdf","archivedAt":"2026-09-17","accessedAt":"2026-09-17","reuse":{"attribution":"Machine Intelligence Research Institute, Intelligence Explosion Microeconomics (2013).","licence":"No open redistribution licence asserted","note":"Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and minimal attributed excerpts only. 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Recheck terms before wider redistribution."}},{"id":"source-ab-rand-redteam","title":"The Operational Risks of AI in Large-Scale Biological Attacks: Results of a Red-Team Study (RR-A2977-2)","authors":["RAND Corporation"],"publisher":"RAND Corporation","publicationDate":null,"version":"Retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-28 (SHA-256 e09a4103027b4f3c9bd3f8d7e1b7f427fea66f4d636f67c5a254a5f88af9438e). Published PDF of RR-A2977-2, 24 pages, © 2024 Retrieved again at admission on 2026-10-30 (SHA-256 e09a4103027b4f3c9bd3f8d7e1b7f427fea66f4d636f67c5a254a5f88af9438e, the same bytes). 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Recheck terms before wider redistribution."}}],"evidence":[{"id":"evidence-supersedes-rsp-3-4","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"PDF p. 20–21, Changelog, entry for 2026-07-08; official archive orders current and previous policy versions","passage":"The dated changelog places the July 8, 2026 (RSP v3.4) entry directly after the May 26, 2026 (RSP v3.3) entry; the v3.4 entry does not itself name the version it updates.","passageType":"paraphrase","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-03","note":"Paraphrase re-checked by an automated research assistant on 2026-10-03 against the inspected PDF, byte-identical to the Internet Archive capture of 2026-07-10 and reworded so that it does not imply the entry names its predecessor. Human review pending."},{"id":"evidence-supersedes-rsp-3-4-2","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"Policy versions, adjacent v3.4 and v3.3 entries","passage":"The publisher lists these successive editions in its policy archive.","passageType":"paraphrase","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-09-18","note":"Official source inspected by machine; passage is an editorial paraphrase. Human review pending."},{"id":"evidence-openai-azure-rofr-jan-2025","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"Final substantive paragraph, new capacity exclusivity","passage":"New-capacity exclusivity changed to a right of first refusal.","passageType":"paraphrase","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-09-19","note":"Exact cited source passage inspected by a machine agent. Company statements are not independent proof of implementation. Human source review pending."},{"id":"evidence-lineage-iem-cites-chalmers","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"§1, printed p. 1 (PDF p. 4); References, printed p. 89 (PDF p. 92)","passage":"The report refers readers to Chalmers (2010).","passageType":"paraphrase","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-09-20","note":"Relevant source passage inspected by machine. Primary for what this document states; no independent replication or human review. Existing source access dates are retained; this evidence check has its own date."},{"id":"evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-time","sourceRole":"secondary","support":"context","locator":"Paragraph beginning ““I like the emphasis on transparent risk reporting”, second sentence","passage":"But he said he was “concerned” that moving away from binary thresholds under the previous RSP, by which the arrival of a certain capability could act as a tripwire to temporarily halt Anthropic’s AI development, might enable a “frog-boiling” effect","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-03","note":"Verbatim excerpt (TIME’s report of METR policy director Chris Painter’s view) checked by an automated research assistant on 2026-10-03 against the live page and the Internet Archive capture of 2026-02-24. It ends mid-sentence before TIME’s gloss of the effect. The concern is hedged (“might enable”), and TIME also reports that Painter called the change understandable and that he reviewed an early draft of the policy with Anthropic’s permission. Secondary reporting: evidence of the disagreement, not of what the policy says. Reclassified as context on 2026-10-03: a hedged concern about consequences, not a judgement that the commitments were weakened. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-kaplan","sourceRole":"secondary","support":"context","locator":"Paragraph beginning “Asked whether Anthropic was caving to market pressure”, first sentence","passage":"Asked whether Anthropic was caving to market pressure, Kaplan argued that, in fact, Anthropic was making a renewed commitment to developing AI safely.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-03","note":"Verbatim excerpt (TIME’s paraphrase of Anthropic chief science officer Jared Kaplan’s answer, not his words) checked by an automated research assistant on 2026-10-03 against the live page and the Internet Archive capture of 2026-02-24. Reclassified as context on 2026-10-04: it answers a question about motive (market pressure), and ‘commitment’ here means dedication to developing AI safely, not a policy pledge. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-govai-concern","sourceRole":"secondary","support":"context","locator":"Section “Reasons to be concerned”, first sentence","passage":"Dropping the pause commitment makes it more likely Anthropic will deploy models with unacceptable risks.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-03","note":"Verbatim excerpt checked by an automated research assistant on 2026-10-03 against the live page and the Internet Archive capture of 2026-03-06. The authors’ view, not GovAI’s: the site states that its research blog posts represent the views of their authors rather than the organisation. Secondary analysis: evidence of the disagreement, not of what the policy says. Reclassified as context on 2026-10-03: it assesses the consequence of dropping the pause commitment rather than whether the commitments were weakened. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-govai-future","sourceRole":"secondary","support":"context","locator":"Section “What’s changed”, item beginning “It has weakened future security commitments”, first sentence","passage":"It has weakened future security commitments.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-03","note":"Verbatim excerpt checked by an automated research assistant on 2026-10-03 against the live page and the Internet Archive capture of 2026-03-06. The authors’ view (GovAI states that its research blog posts represent their authors’ views). Secondary analysis: evidence of the assessment, not of what the policy says. Recorded as context on 2026-10-04: it assesses future security commitments, not whether the new mechanisms compensate overall. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-govai-balance","sourceRole":"secondary","support":"context","locator":"Summary, final bullet, first sentence (repeated as the Conclusion’s final sentence)","passage":"On balance, we think it’s better to be honest about constraints than to keep commitments that won’t be followed in practice.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-03","note":"Verbatim excerpt checked by an automated research assistant on 2026-10-03 against the live page and the Internet Archive capture of 2026-03-06. The authors’ net judgement (GovAI states that its research blog posts represent their authors’ views). Context: it weighs honesty about constraints against unkept commitments and does not deny that commitments were weakened. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-govai-mitigations","sourceRole":"secondary","support":"context","locator":"Summary, third bullet, final sentence","passage":"But importantly, Anthropic is not lowering any of its existing mitigations.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-03","note":"Verbatim excerpt checked by an automated research assistant on 2026-10-03 against the live page and the Internet Archive capture of 2026-03-06. The authors’ reading of the policy, not GovAI’s. Context: it limits the scope of any weakening to future commitments. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-anthropic","sourceRole":"primary","support":"context","locator":"Closing section, first paragraph, second sentence","passage":"This third revision amplifies what worked about the previous RSP, commits us to more transparency about our plans and our risk considerations, and separates out our recommendations for the industry at large from what we can achieve as an individual company.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-03","note":"Verbatim excerpt checked by an automated research assistant on 2026-10-03 against the live page and the Internet Archive capture of 2026-02-24. The publisher’s characterisation, not independent evidence of effect. Recorded as context on 2026-10-04: positive framing and more transparency are compatible with weaker substantive commitments. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-time-assessment","sourceRole":"secondary","support":"context","locator":"Paragraph beginning “But overall, the change to the RSP”, first sentence (to “safety policies”)","passage":"But overall, the change to the RSP leaves Anthropic far less constrained by its own safety policies","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-03","note":"Verbatim excerpt (TIME’s own assessment, ending before the sentence’s closing clause on the previous policy) checked by an automated research assistant on 2026-10-03 against the live page and the Internet Archive capture of 2026-02-24. Secondary reporting: evidence of the assessment, not of what the policy says. Recorded as context on 2026-10-04: it judges overall constraint, not whether the new mechanisms compensate for it. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-kaplan-u-turn","sourceRole":"secondary","support":"context","locator":"Paragraph beginning “Kaplan, the Anthropic executive and co-founder, denied”, final sentence","passage":"“I don’t think we’re making any kind of U-turn,” Kaplan says.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-03","note":"Verbatim excerpt (TIME’s report of Anthropic chief science officer Jared Kaplan’s words) checked by an automated research assistant on 2026-10-03 against the live page and the Internet Archive capture of 2026-02-24. Reclassified as context on 2026-10-04: it denies a reversal, not a weakening, and TIME frames the paragraph as Kaplan denying a capitulation to market incentives. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-anthropic-realistic","sourceRole":"primary","support":"context","locator":"Section “Assessing our theory of change”, final paragraph, second sentence (to “current environment”)","passage":"The revised RSP aims to adopt more realistic unilateral commitments that are difficult but still achievable in the current environment","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-03","note":"Verbatim excerpt checked by an automated research assistant on 2026-10-03 against the live page and the Internet Archive capture of 2026-02-24. Anthropic’s own description of the revision: context agreed by both sides on what changed, not a judgement of whether it weakened the commitments. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-anthropic-goals","sourceRole":"primary","support":"context","locator":"Section “2. 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Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-kaplan-unilateral","sourceRole":"secondary","support":"context","locator":"Paragraph beginning “We felt that it wouldn't actually help anyone”, second sentence","passage":"“We didn't really feel, with the rapid advance of AI, that it made sense for us to make unilateral commitments … if competitors are blazing ahead.”","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-04","note":"Verbatim excerpt (TIME’s report of Anthropic chief science officer Jared Kaplan’s words) checked by an automated research assistant on 2026-10-04 against the live page and the Internet Archive capture of 2026-02-24. Context: Kaplan accepts that the revision gives up unilateral commitments, a change both sides describe; it does not decide whether the commitments taken as a whole were weakened. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-karnofsky-forcing","sourceRole":"primary","support":"context","locator":"Section “RSP v3’s attempt to amplify the good and reduce the bad”, final bullet of the list weighing the Roadmap against the old commitments, first sentence","passage":"Even if the forcing function becomes weaker due to a less stringent “or else,” I think it will also become stronger due to the goals being more specific and realistic than the goals laid out by the old RSP.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-04","note":"Verbatim excerpt checked by an automated research assistant on 2026-10-04 against the live page and the Internet Archive capture of 2026-02-24 20:29 UTC. Holden Karnofsky’s own view: the post states that all views are his own, not Anthropic’s, and that he led the development of RSP v3.0. Karnofsky expects more specific and realistic goals to improve their forcing function despite weaker consequences for missing them; he leaves the net incentive effect uncertain. This does not deny weaker commitments overall. Primary evidence of his position, not independent evidence of effect. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"evidence-rsp-v3-0-assessed-weakening-karnofsky-unilateral","sourceRole":"primary","support":"context","locator":"Q&A, “On the move away from implied unilateral commitments”, answer to the second question, first paragraph, second sentence","passage":"It’s removing unilateral commitments and giving more flexibility.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-04","note":"Verbatim excerpt checked by an automated research assistant on 2026-10-04 against the live page and the Internet Archive capture of 2026-02-24 20:29 UTC. Holden Karnofsky’s own view: the post states that all views are his own, not Anthropic’s, and that he led the development of RSP v3.0. Context: the author accepts that the revision removes unilateral commitments, a change both sides describe; it does not decide whether the commitments taken as a whole were weakened. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"evidence-ts-b6-wiener-1960","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"Printed p. 1358, last paragraph before the heading \"Time Scales\"","passage":"a mechanical agency with whose operation we cannot efficiently interfere once we have started it [...] we had better be quite sure that the purpose put into the machine is the purpose which we really desire","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-06","note":"Checked against the raw text layer of the inspected scan on 2026-10-06 (hash matched the pre-1996 candidate search); the pre-1996 candidate search compared the page images."},{"id":"evidence-ts-b6-wiener-1960-2","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"Printed p. 1357, paragraphs before the heading \"Man and Slave\"","passage":"if the rules for victory in a war game do not correspond to what we actually wish for our country, it is more than likely that such a machine may produce a policy which would win a nominal victory on points","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-06","note":"Checked against the raw text layer; the following words are damaged in the text layer and are not quoted."},{"id":"evidence-ts-b6-wiener-1960-3","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"Printed p. 1357, right column, paragraphs on intervention and the switch-off analogy","passage":"An operator may have a means of stopping a machine yet lack timely information that it must be stopped; if the machine processes information faster than the operator, intervention can come after the damage.","passageType":"paraphrase","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-06","note":"Paraphrase from the pre-1996 candidate search, which compared the page image."},{"id":"evidence-ts-a2-mckinstry-1994-context","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"Message body","passage":"Virtual intelligences would evolve, judged by a conversational system, until they could interact with people and evolve further.","passageType":"paraphrase","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-06","note":"Paraphrase checked against the archive member."},{"id":"evidence-yk-t10-b","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"paragraph beginning 'When you fold a complicated, choppy, cascade-y chain'","passage":"When you fold a complicated, choppy, cascade-y chain of differential equations in on itself via recursion, it should either flatline or blow up. You would need exactly the right law of diminishing returns to fly through the extremely narrow soft takeoff keyhole.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-06","note":"Candidate pack passage T10-b. The quotation (42 words) matched the retrieved expression (SHA-256 34ea901661c803591b6d581d82ff54b8c1aa103012712b5d5e94ae099a13657c) when checked on 2026-10-06."},{"id":"evidence-ec-m05-10","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"printed p. xii (Introduction)","passage":"The fear has even been expressed by some that … eventually it would eliminate all but a few jobs, with the major portion of what we now call work being performed automatically by machine.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-14","note":"Candidate pack passage M05-10 (research/economics-mainstream). The quotation (34 words) matched the retrieved current copy (SHA-256 d23de21a0c05416f957dda13acb680f1baa77ee88e3c094966e8eaba50db637b) in the pack's verification. Re-checked at admission on 2026-10-14 against a copy retrieved that day.","contextOnly":{"reason":"Reports a view in order to frame, not adopt, it.","requires":"Pair with the Commission's dissent on p. 1 if cited."}},{"id":"evidence-ec-m05-29","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"AEA article page (HTML), Abstract; no PDF page (the PDF was not retrieved)","passage":"If the long-run rental rate of capital relative to the wage is sufficiently low, the long-run equilibrium involves automation of all tasks.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-14","note":"Candidate pack passage M05-29 (research/economics-mainstream). The quotation (22 words) matched the retrieved current copy (SHA-256 ec349902ff22b013972448a3868cda67441112008727c5df0772aee87639ae4b) in the pack's verification. Re-checked at admission on 2026-10-14 against a copy retrieved that day, whose SHA-256 differs from the recorded one.","contextOnly":{"reason":"Fresh-context audit (A1) judged that the quotation misleads when shown alone.","requires":"Conditional model result: only if the long-run rental rate of capital relative to the wage is sufficiently low; the alternative ('Otherwise') is a stable balanced growth path in which new labour-intensive tasks keep being created. Must not be read as a forecast."}},{"id":"evidence-ec-e03-09","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"NBER volume introduction, printed p. 9","passage":"He argues that humans must tell the machines what to optimize. Bostrom (2014) describes this as the value- loading problem.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-16","note":"Candidate pack passage E03-09 (research/economics-mainstream/esoteric). The quotation (20 words) matched the retrieved current copy (SHA-256 176dbcbd8a7e924d0f6d7506a9c04fb862a37a99ff3abe07670e7ba892a62839) in the pack's verification of 2026-10-15. Re-checked at admission on 2026-10-16 against a copy retrieved that day.","contextOnly":{"reason":"Fresh-context audit (A1) judged that the quotation misleads when shown alone.","requires":"The editors summarise Francois's comment: in a world 'where machines are better at all tasks', humans' role is the political task of managing machines. 'Value-loading' here is Bostrom's term borrowed for a political-economy point (Arrow impossibility)."}},{"id":"evidence-ec-e04-13","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"pdf p.19; §4 Conclusion","passage":"there are clearly huge externalities to the actions taken by the A.I. labs, and the equilibrium allocation without intervention is almost certainly Pareto inefficient. What policies are called for? Should we tax GPUs and use the revenue to fund safety research?","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-16","note":"Candidate pack passage E04-13 (research/economics-mainstream/esoteric). The quotation (41 words) matched the retrieved current copy (SHA-256 56417f65f9c799c22def31f110fef4bd3608c259096f65e3938b95164cfd9dd1) in the pack's verification of 2026-10-15. Re-checked at admission on 2026-10-16 against a copy retrieved that day."},{"id":"lg-ev-gs-legg-gdm-agi-safety-council-2025","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"Section “Building an ecosystem for AGI readiness”","passage":"Led by Shane Legg, Co-Founder and Chief AGI Scientist at Google DeepMind, our AGI Safety Council (ASC) analyzes AGI risk and best practices, making recommendations on safety measures","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-15","note":"Candidate pack passage, lab genealogy (research/lab-genealogy). The quotation (28 words) matched the retrieved text on 2026-10-15 and again in a fresh retrieval the same day. Read directly from the publisher. Matching ignored differences of whitespace, case, quotation marks, apostrophes, dashes and Unicode compatibility forms, so the source’s typography can differ. A cross-family machine check (2026-10-16/17) re-read the record’s sources and agreed with the record. No human editorial review.","retrievalRoute":"direct"},{"id":"lg-ev-new-lacroix-mistral-cofounder","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"Section “Mistral’s founders”","passage":"The founders section lists Timothée Lacroix as “Co-founder and CTO”.","passageType":"paraphrase","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-15","note":"Candidate pack passage, lab genealogy (research/lab-genealogy). The paraphrase’s verbatim anchor “Lacroix Co-founder and CTO” matched the retrieved text on 2026-10-15 and again in a fresh retrieval the same day. Read directly from the publisher. Matching ignored differences of whitespace, case, quotation marks, apostrophes, dashes and Unicode compatibility forms, so the source’s typography can differ. The paraphrase is Selekoa’s; only the anchor is the source’s wording. No human editorial review.","retrievalRoute":"direct"},{"id":"ev-cmp-rsp-v3-1-d3-halt-1","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"PDF p. 17 (printed p. 16), Appendix A: Commitments Related to Competitors, table row 'Anthropic in the lead', Commitment column","passage":"We will require a strong argument that catastrophic risk is contained, along the lines of our recommendations for industry-wide safety (see Section 1). We will delay AI development and deployment as needed to achieve this, until and unless we no longer believe we have a significant lead.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-27","note":"Existing dataset passage for this edition, which contains the comparison’s shorter quotation, first checked on 2026-10-03. The comparison’s quotation was checked by an automated research assistant on 2026-10-27 against the publisher copy, whose SHA-256 matches the copy retrieved on 2026-10-15. Applies only in Appendix A's 'Anthropic in the lead' scenario. 'This' refers to a strong argument that catastrophic risk is contained, along the lines of the industry-wide recommendations. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"ev-cmp-rsp-v3-1-d3-halt-2","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"PDF p. 16 (printed p. 15), Appendix A: Commitments Related to Competitors, introductory paragraph, second-to-last sentence","passage":"the commitments below do not preclude us from taking cautionary action, such as refraining from training or deploying models, in other circumstances.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-27","note":"Verbatim excerpt checked by an automated research assistant on 2026-10-27 against the publisher copy, whose SHA-256 matches the copy retrieved on 2026-10-15. The next sentence says Anthropic 'would strongly consider pausing development and/or deployment' to improve the safety profiles of its models. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"ev-cmp-preparedness-v2-d3-halt-1","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"PDF p. 4 (printed p. 3), §1 Introduction, third bullet ('Safeguard against severe harms'), second sentence","passage":"We do not deploy models that reach a High capability threshold until the associated risks that they pose are sufficiently minimized.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-27","note":"Passage also quoted in the dataset’s existing evidence for this edition, first checked on 2026-10-03. The comparison’s quotation was checked by an automated research assistant on 2026-10-27 against the publisher copy, whose SHA-256 matches the copy retrieved on 2026-10-15. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"ev-cmp-preparedness-v2-d3-halt-2","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"PDF p. 4 (printed p. 3), §1 Introduction, third bullet","passage":"If a model under development reaches a Critical capability threshold, we also require safeguards to sufficiently minimize the associated risks during development, irrespective of deployment plans.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-27","note":"Passage also quoted in the dataset’s existing evidence for this edition, first checked on 2026-10-03. The comparison’s quotation was checked by an automated research assistant on 2026-10-27 against the publisher copy, whose SHA-256 matches the copy retrieved on 2026-10-15. Table 1 (PDF pp. 6–7) states in the response column of each Critical row that further development halts until safeguards and security controls meeting a Critical standard are specified. The text layer interleaves the table’s columns, so that wording is described here rather than quoted. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"evidence-ap-eliezer-yudkowsky-sl4-2000-07-20-yudkowsky-0007-0023","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"Message header, sender name (address not reproduced)","passage":"Eliezer S. Yudkowsky","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-27","note":"Credited name checked by an automated research assistant on 2026-10-27 in a direct retrieval. Human editorial review is pending.","retrievalRoute":"direct"},{"id":"ev-cmp-rsp-v3-2-d1-other-1","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"PDF p. 7, §1, threshold table, row title, left column","passage":"The edition’s threshold table has a row titled “High-stakes sabotage opportunities”.","passageType":"paraphrase","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-27","note":"Explicit paraphrase, written on 2026-10-27 by an automated research assistant after re-reading the passage in the publisher copy, whose SHA-256 matches the copy retrieved on 2026-10-15. The comparison quoted the passage; it is given here as a paraphrase to keep the edition within the quotation limit. The row concerns AI systems that are heavily relied on, have wide access to sensitive assets and a moderate ability to act autonomously toward goals and to use subterfuge, such that they could plausibly carry out sabotage that irreversibly and substantially raises the chance of a global catastrophe later on. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"ev-cmp-fsf-2024-d2-definition-1","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"PDF p. 2 (printed p. 2), Framework, component '1 - Critical Capability Levels', second and third sentences","passage":"The edition defines CCLs as levels of capability at which, without mitigations, models may pose heightened risk, and sets each as the minimum capability a model needs to cause harm along the main identified paths.","passageType":"paraphrase","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-27","note":"Explicit paraphrase, written on 2026-10-27 by an automated research assistant after re-reading the passage in the publisher copy, whose SHA-256 matches the copy retrieved on 2026-10-15. The comparison quoted the passage; it is given here as a paraphrase to keep the edition within the quotation limit. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"ev-cmp-faif-2026-d5-cadence-1","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"PDF p. 2, §2 Risk Management Framework, second paragraph, first sentence","passage":"The edition says xAI will carry out, at least once a year, a full process of systemic risk assessment and mitigation for its frontier models.","passageType":"paraphrase","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-15","note":"Explicit paraphrase, written on 2026-10-27 by an automated research assistant from the comparison’s quotation of this passage, which was checked on 2026-10-15 against the publisher copy (SHA-256 recorded in the comparison pack). The edition could not be retrieved again on 2026-10-27; the archive capture of 2026-07-16 has the same SHA-256 (research/archive-checks-2026-10-26/codex-report.md). Given as a paraphrase to keep the edition within the quotation limit. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"ev-cmp-faif-2026-d5-cadence-2","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"PDF p. 6, first §2.3 'Systemic risk acceptance determination', first paragraph (continued from PDF p. 5), second sentence","passage":"The edition says these evaluations are performed before wider deployment of xAI's models.","passageType":"paraphrase","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-15","note":"Explicit paraphrase, written on 2026-10-27 by an automated research assistant from the comparison’s quotation of this passage, which was checked on 2026-10-15 against the publisher copy (SHA-256 recorded in the comparison pack). The edition could not be retrieved again on 2026-10-27; the archive capture of 2026-07-16 has the same SHA-256 (research/archive-checks-2026-10-26/codex-report.md). Given as a paraphrase to keep the edition within the quotation limit. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"ev-cmp-ms-fgf-2026-d7-internal-1","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"PDF p. 10 (printed p. 9), §5 Governance, Risk-informed deployment decision, first paragraph","passage":"The edition says documentation of the capability assessments before and after mitigation will go to the “Executive Officers” responsible for Microsoft's AI governance programme, or their delegates.","passageType":"paraphrase","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-27","note":"Explicit paraphrase, written on 2026-10-27 by an automated research assistant after re-reading the passage in the publisher copy, whose SHA-256 matches the copy retrieved on 2026-10-15. The comparison quoted the passage; it is given here as a paraphrase to keep the edition within the quotation limit. Human editorial review is pending."},{"id":"c2-ev-governance-aiia-aisc-signatory-zero-one-ai-1","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"Embedded image, list 首批签署《人工智能安全承诺》企业名单 (transcribed from the image; not in the page’s text layer)","passage":"Transcription from the image: the list of initial signatories (首批签署《人工智能安全承诺》企业名单, 17 names, ordered by initial letter) includes 北京零一万物科技有限公司.","passageType":"paraphrase","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-27","note":"Candidate pack passage, Chinese frontier-AI institutions, second collection (research/china-labs-2). Transcription of a name that appears only in the image embedded in the post (the list of initial signatories); it is not in the page’s text layer and was not machine-matched. The drafting pass and the same-family audit read the list visually, and the cross-family check (2026-10-27) read all 17 names and agreed. The paraphrase is Selekoa’s; the listed name is transcribed as printed. No English rendering is given; no human translation review. A cross-family machine check (2026-10-27, item K025) re-read the record’s sources and agreed with the record. No human editorial review.","retrievalRoute":"direct"},{"id":"c2-ev-governance-aiia-aisc-signatory-zero-one-ai-2","sourceRole":"secondary","support":"supports","locator":"Final paragraph","passage":"阿里巴巴、百度公司、火山引擎、旷视科技、零一万物、深度求索","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-27","note":"Candidate pack passage, Chinese frontier-AI institutions, second collection (research/china-labs-2). The quotation (24 words, each CJK character counted as one) matched the retrieved text on 2026-10-27 and again in a fresh retrieval the same day. Read directly from the publisher. Matching ignored differences of whitespace, case, quotation marks, apostrophes, dashes and Unicode compatibility forms, so the source’s typography can differ. English machine translation, not verified by a person: “Alibaba, Baidu, Volcano Engine, Megvii, 01.AI, DeepSeek”. A cross-family machine check (2026-10-27, item K025) re-read the record’s sources and agreed with the record. No human editorial review.","retrievalRoute":"direct"},{"id":"evidence-fl-eu-aia-art51-3-delegated-thresholds-1","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"Article 51(3)","passage":"to amend the thresholds listed in paragraphs 1 and 2 of this Article","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-28","note":"Candidate pack passage, frameworks to law (research/frameworks-to-law). The quotation (13 words) matched the text retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-27 and again at admission on 2026-10-28, in a fresh retrieval whose SHA-256 equals the pack’s. Read the Publications Office's Cellar repository (the same Official Journal expression as the dataset's EUR-Lex source; EUR-Lex returned empty responses). Matching ignored differences of whitespace, case, quotation marks, dashes and Unicode compatibility forms, so the source’s typography can differ. No human editorial review.","retrievalRoute":"direct"},{"id":"evidence-fl-eu-aia-art51-3-delegated-thresholds-2","sourceRole":"primary","support":"context","locator":"Article 97(2), first sentence","passage":"Article 97(2) confers the power to adopt delegated acts under, among others, Article 51(3) and Article 52(4) for a period of five years from 1 August 2024.","passageType":"paraphrase","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-28","note":"Candidate pack passage, frameworks to law (research/frameworks-to-law). The paraphrase is Selekoa’s, written from the text retrieved on 2026-10-27 and read the Publications Office's Cellar repository (the same Official Journal expression as the dataset's EUR-Lex source; EUR-Lex returned empty responses); it is not a quotation and was not machine-matched. No human editorial review.","retrievalRoute":"direct"},{"id":"evidence-fl-eu-aia-art51-3-delegated-thresholds-3","sourceRole":"primary","support":"context","locator":"Article 1, point (37)(a), replacing Article 97(2)","passage":"The replacement Article 97(2) still lists Article 51(3) and Article 52(4) among the delegated powers conferred for five years from 1 August 2024.","passageType":"paraphrase","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-28","note":"Candidate pack passage, frameworks to law (research/frameworks-to-law). The paraphrase is Selekoa’s, written from the text retrieved on 2026-10-27 and read the Publications Office's Cellar repository (the same Official Journal expression as the dataset's EUR-Lex source; EUR-Lex returned empty responses); it is not a quotation and was not machine-matched. No human editorial review.","retrievalRoute":"direct"},{"id":"evidence-fl-cn-labelling-scope-1","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"Article 2 (第二条)","passage":"The Measures apply to the AI-generated content labelling activities of network information service providers (\"service providers\") that meet the situations specified in the three named rules, including the Interim Measures for generative AI services.","passageType":"paraphrase","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-28","note":"Candidate pack passage, frameworks to law (research/frameworks-to-law). The paraphrase is Selekoa’s, written from the text retrieved on 2026-10-27 and read directly from www.gov.cn; it is not a quotation and was not machine-matched. A cross-family machine check (2026-10-28, item 106) re-read the record’s sources and found full support. No human editorial review.","retrievalRoute":"direct"},{"id":"evidence-fl-cn-labelling-scope-2","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"Article 2 (第二条), closing words","passage":"开展人工智能生成合成内容标识活动，适用本办法","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-28","note":"Added at the admission of the frameworks-to-law pack (research/frameworks-to-law). Added at admission: the schema requires a provision record to quote the edition, and the pack gave this provision by paraphrase only. The passage was read from a fresh retrieval at admission whose SHA-256 equals the pack’s, and is within the source’s quotation limit. English machine translation, not verified by a person: “[for service providers] carrying out AI-generated synthetic content labelling activities, these Measures apply”. No human editorial review.","retrievalRoute":"direct"},{"id":"evidence-cpo-pw-entergy-lpsc-meta-gas-1","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"paragraph beginning “BATON ROUGE, La. – The Louisiana…”","passage":"The LPSC has approved an agreement that lets Entergy Louisiana proceed with infrastructure investments tied to Meta's new data center in Richland Parish.","passageType":"paraphrase","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-30","note":"Candidate pack passage, compute, power and orbit (research/compute-power-orbit). The paraphrase is Selekoa’s, written from the text retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-28; it is not a quotation and was not machine-matched. The cross-family check found it faithful. A cross-family machine check (2026-10-29/30, item 40) answered the record’s question blind from fresh retrievals and agreed with the record. No human editorial review.","retrievalRoute":"direct"},{"id":"evidence-cpo-pw-entergy-lpsc-meta-gas-2","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"paragraph beginning “The agreement allows Entergy Louisiana to…”","passage":"The agreement allows Entergy Louisiana to construct three new modern and efficient combined cycle combustion turbine generation facilities.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-30","note":"Candidate pack passage, compute, power and orbit (research/compute-power-orbit). The quotation (18 words) matched the text retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-28 and again at admission on 2026-10-30, in a fresh retrieval (SHA-256 c3e1bc74789b3c029b85d8b37911317e52eb32c2d11abfabd81a52770a5579e5; the bytes differ from the pack’s retrieval). Matching ignored differences of whitespace, case, quotation marks, dashes and Unicode compatibility forms, so the source’s typography can differ. A cross-family machine check (2026-10-29/30, item 40) answered the record’s question blind from fresh retrievals and agreed with the record. No human editorial review.","retrievalRoute":"direct"},{"id":"evidence-cpo-pw-entergy-lpsc-meta-gas-3","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"paragraph beginning “The agreement allows Entergy Louisiana to…”","passage":"Two of the facilities will be located in Richland Parish and are expected to come online in late 2028.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-30","note":"Candidate pack passage, compute, power and orbit (research/compute-power-orbit). The quotation (19 words) matched the text retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-28 and again at admission on 2026-10-30, in a fresh retrieval (SHA-256 c3e1bc74789b3c029b85d8b37911317e52eb32c2d11abfabd81a52770a5579e5; the bytes differ from the pack’s retrieval). Matching ignored differences of whitespace, case, quotation marks, dashes and Unicode compatibility forms, so the source’s typography can differ. A cross-family machine check (2026-10-29/30, item 40) answered the record’s question blind from fresh retrievals and agreed with the record. No human editorial review.","retrievalRoute":"direct"},{"id":"evidence-cpo-pw-entergy-lpsc-meta-gas-4","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"paragraph beginning “The agreement allows Entergy Louisiana to…”","passage":"with an expected operational date by the end of 2029","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-30","note":"Candidate pack passage, compute, power and orbit (research/compute-power-orbit). The quotation (10 words) matched the text retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-28 and again at admission on 2026-10-30, in a fresh retrieval (SHA-256 c3e1bc74789b3c029b85d8b37911317e52eb32c2d11abfabd81a52770a5579e5; the bytes differ from the pack’s retrieval). Matching ignored differences of whitespace, case, quotation marks, dashes and Unicode compatibility forms, so the source’s typography can differ. A cross-family machine check (2026-10-29/30, item 40) answered the record’s question blind from fresh retrievals and agreed with the record. No human editorial review.","retrievalRoute":"direct"},{"id":"evidence-cpo-pw-entergy-lpsc-meta-gas-5","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"paragraph beginning ““Today’s decision by the Commission is…”","passage":"Meta is paying its share of the costs for the infrastructure needed to support its operations","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-30","note":"Candidate pack passage, compute, power and orbit (research/compute-power-orbit). The quotation (16 words) matched the text retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-28 and again at admission on 2026-10-30, in a fresh retrieval (SHA-256 c3e1bc74789b3c029b85d8b37911317e52eb32c2d11abfabd81a52770a5579e5; the bytes differ from the pack’s retrieval). Matching ignored differences of whitespace, case, quotation marks, dashes and Unicode compatibility forms, so the source’s typography can differ. A cross-family machine check (2026-10-29/30, item 40) answered the record’s question blind from fresh retrievals and agreed with the record. No human editorial review.","retrievalRoute":"direct"},{"id":"evidence-cpo-pw-entergy-lpsc-meta-gas-6","sourceRole":"primary","support":"context","locator":"paragraph beginning “As part of the approval…”","passage":"the Commission also authorised Entergy Louisiana to procure up to 1,500 megawatts of solar resources; the release's subheading refers to new generation and transmission projects.","passageType":"paraphrase","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-30","note":"Candidate pack passage, compute, power and orbit (research/compute-power-orbit). The paraphrase is Selekoa’s, written from the text retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-28; it is not a quotation and was not machine-matched. The cross-family check found it faithful. A cross-family machine check (2026-10-29/30, item 40) answered the record’s question blind from fresh retrievals and agreed with the record. No human editorial review.","retrievalRoute":"direct"},{"id":"evidence-cpo-pw-entergy-lpsc-meta-gas-7","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"Order U-37425, PDF p. 1","passage":"Decided at the August 20, 2025 Business and Executive Session.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-30","note":"Added at the admission of the compute, power and orbit pack (research/compute-power-orbit). The regulator’s own record (cross-family check, item 40). The quotation (10 words) matched a direct retrieval of 2026-10-30 (SHA-256 9185ef7e4130785574b53f0a0cff7216390428399d2aaac0265eebb7da838aaf). Matching ignored differences of whitespace, case, quotation marks, dashes and Unicode compatibility forms. No human editorial review.","retrievalRoute":"direct"},{"id":"evidence-cpo-pw-entergy-lpsc-meta-gas-8","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"Order U-37425, PDF p. 8, signature block","passage":"The order states that it is effective immediately and is dated at Baton Rouge on 29 August 2025.","passageType":"paraphrase","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-30","note":"Added at the admission of the compute, power and orbit pack (research/compute-power-orbit). The written order’s date and effect, given by paraphrase because the scanned text layer repeats words. The paraphrase is Selekoa’s; it is not a quotation and was not machine-matched. No human editorial review.","retrievalRoute":"direct"},{"id":"evidence-ab-ev-rand-redteam-no-difference-1","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"PDF p. 2, 'We conclude that…' passage in the introductory column","passage":"We conclude that biological weapon attack planning lies beyond the existing capability frontier of LLMs.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-30","note":"Candidate pack passage, AI and biosecurity (research/ai-bio). The quotation (15 words) matched the text retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-28 and again at admission on 2026-10-30, in a fresh retrieval whose SHA-256 equals the pack’s. Matching ignored differences of whitespace, case, quotation marks, dashes and Unicode compatibility forms, so the source’s typography can differ. The report's stated conclusion, printed alongside the finding of no statistically significant difference. A cross-family machine check (2026-10-30, item 14) re-read the record’s sources and found partial support; its corrections were applied at admission. No human editorial review.","retrievalRoute":"direct"},{"id":"evidence-ab-ev-rand-redteam-no-difference-2","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"PDF p. 8, analysis of the combined results and of the two models","passage":"there was no significant difference in the viability of OPLANs created with or without the aid of LLMs","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-30","note":"Candidate pack passage, AI and biosecurity (research/ai-bio). The quotation (18 words) matched the text retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-28 and again at admission on 2026-10-30, in a fresh retrieval whose SHA-256 equals the pack’s. Matching ignored differences of whitespace, case, quotation marks, dashes and Unicode compatibility forms, so the source’s typography can differ. 'OPLAN' is the report's term for the operational plans its cells produced. A cross-family machine check (2026-10-30, item 14) re-read the record’s sources and found partial support; its corrections were applied at admission. No human editorial review.","retrievalRoute":"direct"},{"id":"evidence-ab-ev-rand-redteam-no-difference-3","sourceRole":"primary","support":"context","locator":"PDF p. 8, paragraph following the difference-in-means analysis","passage":"Several factors beyond the capabilities or limitations of LLMs could account for this lack of statistically significant difference between the LLM and internet-only cells.","passageType":"quote","verification":"machine_checked","checkedAt":"2026-10-30","note":"Candidate pack passage, AI and biosecurity (research/ai-bio). The quotation (24 words) matched the text retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-28 and again at admission on 2026-10-30, in a fresh retrieval whose SHA-256 equals the pack’s. Matching ignored differences of whitespace, case, quotation marks, dashes and Unicode compatibility forms, so the source’s typography can differ. The report then lists those factors. A cross-family machine check (2026-10-30, item 14) re-read the record’s sources and found partial support; its corrections were applied at admission. No human editorial review.","retrievalRoute":"direct"}],"at":{"entities":[0,4,19,22,23,35,44,45,46,47,48,49,54,57,96,202,243,249,262,279,316,337,346,359,446,491,517,550,558,571,587,588,602,672,810,936,1009,1155,1247],"claims":[81,105,224,398,781,833,1052,1362,1379,1524,1540,1758,2024,2073,2127,2379,2557,2595,2688,2726,2765,2865,2912,3183,3364],"sources":[10,29,40,41,43,44,49,52,53,55,184,186,187,189,262,281,321,413,457,458,503,511,524,551,659,725,778,787,837,1019,1030,1072],"evidence":[93,94,124,243,424,425,426,427,428,429,430,574,575,576,577,681,682,683,989,990,991,1044,1281,1701,1722,1900,1925,2257,2617,2677,2678,2758,2759,3026,3211,3259,3375,3376,3423,3495,3496,3670,3671,3672,3761,3762,4277,4278,4279,4280,4281,4282,4283,4284,4615,4616,4617]},"version":"1lg47t7"}