{"index":{"byClaim":[["am-u05-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy",["propositions:ai-and-money"]],["am-u06-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy",["propositions:ai-and-money"]]],"marks":[],"chronicle":{"years":[{"year":1637,"topics":{"ideas":2},"stated":0},{"year":1843,"topics":{"ideas":1},"stated":0},{"year":1863,"topics":{"ideas":10},"stated":0},{"year":1865,"topics":{"ideas":3},"stated":0},{"year":1872,"topics":{"ideas":12},"stated":0},{"year":1923,"topics":{"ideas":3},"stated":0},{"year":1943,"topics":{"ideas":1},"stated":0},{"year":1947,"topics":{"ideas":4},"stated":0},{"year":1948,"topics":{"ideas":7},"stated":0},{"year":1949,"topics":{"ideas":4},"stated":0},{"year":1950,"topics":{"ideas":13},"stated":0},{"year":1951,"topics":{"ideas":14},"stated":0},{"year":1952,"topics":{"ideas":2},"stated":0},{"year":1955,"topics":{"ideas":32},"stated":0},{"year":1956,"topics":{"ideas":1},"stated":0},{"year":1957,"topics":{"ideas":1},"stated":0},{"year":1958,"topics":{"ideas":8},"stated":0},{"year":1959,"topics":{"ideas":7},"stated":0},{"year":1960,"topics":{"ideas":12},"stated":0},{"year":1961,"topics":{"ideas":14},"stated":0},{"year":1965,"topics":{"ideas":9},"stated":0},{"year":1966,"topics":{"ideas":21},"stated":0},{"year":1968,"topics":{"ideas":5},"stated":0},{"year":1969,"topics":{"ideas":2},"stated":0},{"year":1971,"topics":{"ideas":4},"stated":0},{"year":1972,"topics":{"ideas":1},"stated":0},{"year":1973,"topics":{"ideas":5},"stated":0},{"year":1974,"topics":{"ideas":2},"stated":0},{"year":1975,"topics":{"ideas":1},"stated":0},{"year":1976,"topics":{"ideas":1},"stated":0},{"year":1977,"topics":{"people":2,"ideas":8},"stated":0},{"year":1979,"topics":{"ideas":10},"stated":0},{"year":1980,"topics":{"ideas":2},"stated":0},{"year":1981,"topics":{"people":2},"stated":0},{"year":1982,"topics":{"ideas":4},"stated":0},{"year":1983,"topics":{"ideas":7},"stated":0},{"year":1984,"topics":{"ideas":21},"stated":0},{"year":1985,"topics":{"ideas":9},"stated":0},{"year":1986,"topics":{"ideas":18},"stated":0},{"year":1987,"topics":{"ideas":1},"stated":0},{"year":1988,"topics":{"ideas":6},"stated":0},{"year":1989,"topics":{"ideas":26},"stated":0},{"year":1990,"topics":{"ideas":9},"stated":0},{"year":1991,"topics":{"ideas":14},"stated":0},{"year":1992,"topics":{"ideas":15},"stated":0},{"year":1993,"topics":{"ideas":27,"people":3},"stated":0},{"year":1994,"topics":{"ideas":18},"stated":0},{"year":1995,"topics":{"ideas":10,"people":1},"stated":0},{"year":1996,"topics":{"ideas":83},"stated":0},{"year":1997,"topics":{"ideas":20},"stated":0},{"year":1998,"topics":{"ideas":56},"stated":0},{"year":1999,"topics":{"ideas":36,"people":1,"institutions":1},"stated":0},{"year":2000,"topics":{"ideas":78},"stated":0},{"year":2001,"topics":{"ideas":58},"stated":0},{"year":2002,"topics":{"ideas":32},"stated":0},{"year":2003,"topics":{"ideas":9},"stated":0},{"year":2004,"topics":{"ideas":15,"people":3},"stated":0},{"year":2005,"topics":{"ideas":20,"people":1},"stated":0},{"year":2006,"topics":{"ideas":26,"people":1},"stated":0},{"year":2007,"topics":{"ideas":21},"stated":0},{"year":2008,"topics":{"ideas":67,"people":3,"institutions":1},"stated":0},{"year":2009,"topics":{"ideas":13,"people":1},"stated":0},{"year":2010,"topics":{"people":3,"ideas":14,"institutions":1,"governance":4},"stated":0},{"year":2011,"topics":{"people":3,"ideas":20,"institutions":2},"stated":0},{"year":2012,"topics":{"people":4,"ideas":20,"institutions":2},"stated":0},{"year":2013,"topics":{"ideas":47,"people":4,"institutions":2,"capital":1},"stated":0},{"year":2014,"topics":{"institutions":2,"ideas":63,"people":5},"stated":0},{"year":2015,"topics":{"people":23,"ideas":135,"institutions":3,"capital":1},"stated":0},{"year":2016,"topics":{"ideas":88,"people":2},"stated":0},{"year":2017,"topics":{"people":16,"institutions":3,"ideas":150,"governance":2},"stated":0},{"year":2018,"topics":{"people":9,"ideas":172,"institutions":9,"governance":1},"stated":0},{"year":2019,"topics":{"capital":1,"compute":1,"people":11,"governance":19,"ideas":188,"institutions":5},"stated":0},{"year":2020,"topics":{"people":6,"ideas":99,"institutions":1,"governance":2},"stated":0},{"year":2021,"topics":{"people":27,"ideas":195,"compute":1,"institutions":25,"governance":4,"capital":6},"stated":0},{"year":2022,"topics":{"people":15,"ideas":241,"institutions":8,"governance":3,"compute":2,"capital":1},"stated":0},{"year":2023,"topics":{"capital":14,"compute":7,"institutions":27,"people":55,"governance":239,"ideas":422},"stated":0},{"year":2024,"topics":{"capital":31,"compute":19,"governance":367,"people":103,"ideas":231,"institutions":39},"stated":1},{"year":2025,"topics":{"governance":796,"compute":70,"capital":61,"people":145,"institutions":33,"ideas":215},"stated":7},{"year":2026,"topics":{"governance":619,"capital":30,"compute":33,"institutions":32,"ideas":128,"people":139},"stated":19},{"year":2027,"topics":{},"stated":8},{"year":2028,"topics":{},"stated":6},{"year":2029,"topics":{},"stated":3},{"year":2030,"topics":{},"stated":3},{"year":2032,"topics":{},"stated":2},{"year":2035,"topics":{},"stated":2},{"year":2039,"topics":{},"stated":1},{"year":2042,"topics":{},"stated":1},{"year":2050,"topics":{},"stated":1}],"scheduled":[],"statedBy":[]},"collections":[{"target":{"kind":"propositions","id":"antecedent-texts"},"title":"Antecedent texts: machine intelligence before 1965","claimIds":[],"records":[]},{"target":{"kind":"propositions","id":"superintelligence"},"title":"Propositions about superintelligence, 1863–2025","claimIds":[],"records":[]},{"target":{"kind":"propositions","id":"risk-debate"},"title":"Arguments about catastrophic risk from advanced AI, 1863–2026","claimIds":[],"records":[]},{"target":{"kind":"propositions","id":"yudkowsky-arguments"},"title":"Eliezer Yudkowsky’s arguments on common claims about AI, 1996–2026","claimIds":[],"records":[]},{"target":{"kind":"propositions","id":"machine-succession"},"title":"Machine succession, scale and acceleration: propositions in located texts, 1863–2026","claimIds":[],"records":[]},{"target":{"kind":"propositions","id":"economics-of-machine-intelligence"},"title":"Economics of machine intelligence: texts from 1952 to 2026 that state, contest or bear on its propositions","claimIds":[],"records":[]},{"target":{"kind":"propositions","id":"orbital-compute-arguments"},"title":"Arguments about compute in orbit","claimIds":[],"records":[]},{"target":{"kind":"propositions","id":"ai-bio-arguments"},"title":"Arguments about AI and biological risk","claimIds":[],"records":[]},{"target":{"kind":"propositions","id":"ai-in-science"},"title":"AI in science","claimIds":[],"records":[]},{"target":{"kind":"propositions","id":"ai-and-money"},"title":"AI and money: what central banks and financial authorities have said, 1997–2026","claimIds":["am-u05-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy","am-u06-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy"],"records":[]},{"target":{"kind":"documents"},"title":"Frontier safety frameworks","claimIds":[]},{"target":{"kind":"compare","id":"frontier-safety-frameworks"},"title":"Compare frameworks","claimIds":[]},{"target":{"kind":"control","id":"openai"},"title":"OpenAI’s control structure, 2015–2026","claimIds":[]},{"target":{"kind":"control","id":"anthropic"},"title":"Anthropic’s control structure, 2021–2026","claimIds":[]},{"target":{"kind":"commitments"},"title":"External commitments and obligations","claimIds":[]},{"target":{"kind":"question","id":"frameworks-to-obligations"},"title":"Frameworks, commitments and legal obligations, 2023–2026","claimIds":[]},{"target":{"kind":"reading"},"title":"Founding and early leadership","claimIds":[]}]},"version":"1w72rbb","build":"index-CoKtSxT7.js","packed":1,"at":{"entities":[2261,66,1],"claims":[6750,12],"sources":[2149],"evidence":[9256,1,1,1,32,1,1]},"records":{"entities":{"n":3,"fields":{"id":["ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy","ai-improves-nowcasting-policy-analysis","ai-matters-for-monetary-policy"],"name":["AI and the euro area economy","AI can improve nowcasting and policy analysis","AI’s economic effects matter for monetary policy"],"type":["document","concept","concept"],"subtype":["Speech"],"description":["Speech by Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB. A speech or remarks are the speaker’s, not the European Central Bank’s policy unless its own text says so. Dated 2026-03-23. Occasion: ECB-SAFE-RCEA International Conference on the Climate-Macro-Finance Interface (3CMFI), Frankfurt."],"sourceIds":[["source-am-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy"]],"proposition":[{"code":"J05","criterion":"Machine-learning or AI techniques can improve nowcasting, forecasting, the processing of large or unstructured data, or other economic and policy analysis used by central banks.","terms":[]},{"code":"J06","criterion":"The effects of AI on productivity, labour markets, prices, investment or the neutral rate of interest are relevant to the conduct of monetary policy, so that central banks need to assess or respond to them.","terms":[]}]},"held":{"subtype":[0],"description":[0],"sourceIds":[0],"proposition":[1,1]}},"claims":{"n":2,"fields":{"id":["am-u05-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy","am-u06-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy"],"subject":["ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy","ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy"],"predicate":["articulates_proposition","articulates_proposition"],"object":[{"kind":"entity","entityId":"ai-improves-nowcasting-policy-analysis"},{"kind":"entity","entityId":"ai-matters-for-monetary-policy"}],"topic":["ideas","ideas"],"statement":["In a keynote speech of 23 March 2026, Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB, said that the ECB has expanded AI and machine-learning tools aimed at forecasting, alternative data and nowcasting, including quantile regression forests for density forecasts of inflation used in forecasting exercises.","In a keynote speech of 23 March 2026, Philip R. Lane, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB, set out how AI could affect inflation, the natural rate of interest (R*) and cyclical shocks, said that the net effect on R* remains uncertain, and said that the short- and longer-run effects of AI warrant careful monitoring for monetary policy."],"time":[{"kind":"event","date":"2026-03-23","note":"Date the speech or remarks were delivered, as the text gives it."},{"kind":"event","date":"2026-03-23","note":"Date the speech or remarks were delivered, as the text gives it."}],"derivation":["explicit","explicit"],"resolution":["supported","supported"],"editorialState":["seed","seed"],"evidenceIds":[["evidence-am-u05-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy-1","evidence-am-u05-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy-2","evidence-am-u05-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy-3","evidence-am-u05-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy-disclaimer"],["evidence-am-u06-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy-1","evidence-am-u06-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy-2","evidence-am-u06-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy-disclaimer"]],"attributes":[{"thought":{"roles":["articulation"],"register":"nonfiction","voice":"official"}},{"thought":{"roles":["articulation"],"register":"nonfiction","voice":"official"}}]}},"sources":{"n":1,"fields":{"id":["source-am-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy"],"documentId":["ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy"],"title":["AI and the euro area economy"],"authors":[["Philip R. Lane"]],"publisher":["European Central Bank"],"publicationDate":["2026-03-23"],"version":["Retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-11-02 (SHA-256 cefdf122822e3c94f13956f28c211bbd1a831f9ec3f4e63690cef469e8e0716e). Retrieved again at admission on 2026-11-06 (SHA-256 9c5d8d00abf49f636472ad4ea9b0b537ca55c6b42705532762e41c349ce63351; web pages are served with new markup on each request). HTML speech page as served on 2026-11-02"],"evidenceUrl":["https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date/2026/html/ecb.sp260323_1~1e06784a89.en.html"],"language":["en"]}},"evidence":{"n":7,"fields":{"id":["evidence-am-u05-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy-1","evidence-am-u05-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy-2","evidence-am-u05-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy-3","evidence-am-u05-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy-disclaimer","evidence-am-u06-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy-1","evidence-am-u06-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy-2","evidence-am-u06-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy-disclaimer"],"claimId":["am-u05-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy","am-u05-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy","am-u05-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy","am-u05-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy","am-u06-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy","am-u06-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy","am-u06-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy"],"sourceId":["source-am-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy","source-am-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy","source-am-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy","source-am-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy","source-am-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy","source-am-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy","source-am-ecb-2026-ai-euro-area-economy"],"sourceRole":["primary","primary"],"support":["supports","supports","supports","context","supports","supports","context"],"verification":["machine_checked","machine_checked","machine_checked","machine_checked","machine_checked","machine_checked","machine_checked"],"retrievalRoute":["direct","direct","direct","direct","direct","direct","direct"]},"held":{"sourceRole":[0,4]}}}}