{"entities":[{"id":"trammell-korinek-2020-growth-under-transformative-ai","name":"Economic Growth under Transformative AI: A guide to the vast range of possibilities for output growth, wages, and the labor share","shortName":"Trammell and Korinek, Economic Growth under Transformative AI (2021)","type":"document"},{"id":"acemoglu-2024-simple-macroeconomics-of-ai","name":"The Simple Macroeconomics of AI","shortName":"Acemoglu, The Simple Macroeconomics of AI (2024)","type":"document"},{"id":"acemoglu-restrepo-2018-ai-automation-and-work","name":"Artificial Intelligence, Automation and Work","shortName":"Acemoglu and Restrepo, Artificial Intelligence, Automation and Work (2018)","type":"document"},{"id":"agrawal-gans-goldfarb-2018-economic-policy-for-ai","name":"Economic Policy for Artificial Intelligence","shortName":"Agrawal, Gans, Goldfarb, Economic Policy for Artificial Intelligence (2018)","type":"document"},{"id":"agrawal-gans-goldfarb-2019-ambiguous-labor-market-impact","name":"Artificial Intelligence: The Ambiguous Labor Market Impact of Automating Prediction","shortName":"Agrawal, Gans, Goldfarb, Artificial Intelligence (2019)","type":"document"},{"id":"acemoglu-restrepo-2019-wrong-kind-of-ai","name":"The Wrong Kind of AI? Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Labor Demand","shortName":"Acemoglu and Restrepo, The Wrong Kind of AI (2019)","type":"document"},{"id":"daron-acemoglu","name":"Daron Acemoglu","type":"person"},{"id":"pascual-restrepo","name":"Pascual Restrepo","type":"person"},{"id":"kp-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019","name":"Robots and Jobs: Evidence from US Labor Markets","type":"document","subtype":"Research paper","description":"Work-level record. Each recorded version is listed as a source with its own date. A citation to the work does not identify which version the citing author read.","sourceIds":["source-kp-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-text"]}],"claims":[{"id":"kp-states-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-1","subject":"kp-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019","predicate":"states_contribution","object":{"kind":"literal","value":"The paper analyses the effect of the increase in industrial robot usage between 1990 and 2007 on US local labour markets."},"topic":"ideas","statement":"The paper analyses the effect of the increase in industrial robot usage between 1990 and 2007 on US local labour markets.","time":{"kind":"unknown","note":"The version quoted carries no date of its own; other versions may word it differently."},"derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","evidenceIds":["evidence-kp-states-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-1-1"]},{"id":"kp-cites-trammell-korinek-2020-growth-under-transformative-ai-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019","subject":"trammell-korinek-2020-growth-under-transformative-ai","predicate":"cites","object":{"kind":"entity","entityId":"kp-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019"},"topic":"ideas","statement":"Economic Growth under Transformative AI: A guide to the vast range of possibilities for output growth, wages, and the labor share cites Robots and Jobs: Evidence from US Labor Markets.","time":{"kind":"event","date":"2021-02-04","basis":"publication","note":"Date of the citing source as recorded in the dataset; unknown where the dataset has none."},"derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","evidenceIds":["evidence-kp-cites-trammell-korinek-2020-growth-under-transformative-ai-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-1"]},{"id":"kp-cites-acemoglu-2024-simple-macroeconomics-of-ai-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019","subject":"acemoglu-2024-simple-macroeconomics-of-ai","predicate":"cites","object":{"kind":"entity","entityId":"kp-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019"},"topic":"ideas","statement":"The Simple Macroeconomics of AI cites Robots and Jobs: Evidence from US Labor Markets.","time":{"kind":"event","date":"2024-04-05","basis":"publication","note":"Date of the citing source as recorded in the dataset; unknown where the dataset has none."},"derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","evidenceIds":["evidence-kp-cites-acemoglu-2024-simple-macroeconomics-of-ai-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-1"]},{"id":"kp-cites-acemoglu-restrepo-2018-ai-automation-and-work-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019","subject":"acemoglu-restrepo-2018-ai-automation-and-work","predicate":"cites","object":{"kind":"entity","entityId":"kp-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019"},"topic":"ideas","statement":"Artificial Intelligence, Automation and Work cites Robots and Jobs: Evidence from US Labor Markets.","time":{"kind":"event","date":"2018-01","basis":"publication","note":"Date of the citing source as recorded in the dataset; unknown where the dataset has none."},"derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","evidenceIds":["evidence-kp-cites-acemoglu-restrepo-2018-ai-automation-and-work-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-1"]},{"id":"kp-cites-agrawal-gans-goldfarb-2018-economic-policy-for-ai-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019","subject":"agrawal-gans-goldfarb-2018-economic-policy-for-ai","predicate":"cites","object":{"kind":"entity","entityId":"kp-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019"},"topic":"ideas","statement":"Economic Policy for Artificial Intelligence cites Robots and Jobs: Evidence from US Labor Markets.","time":{"kind":"event","date":"2018-06","basis":"publication","note":"Date of the citing source as recorded in the dataset; unknown where the dataset has none."},"derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","evidenceIds":["evidence-kp-cites-agrawal-gans-goldfarb-2018-economic-policy-for-ai-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-1"]},{"id":"kp-cites-agrawal-gans-goldfarb-2019-ambiguous-labor-market-impact-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019","subject":"agrawal-gans-goldfarb-2019-ambiguous-labor-market-impact","predicate":"cites","object":{"kind":"entity","entityId":"kp-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019"},"topic":"ideas","statement":"Artificial Intelligence: The Ambiguous Labor Market Impact of Automating Prediction cites Robots and Jobs: Evidence from US Labor Markets.","time":{"kind":"event","date":"2019-02","basis":"publication","note":"Date of the citing source as recorded in the dataset; unknown where the dataset has none."},"derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","evidenceIds":["evidence-kp-cites-agrawal-gans-goldfarb-2019-ambiguous-labor-market-impact-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-1"]},{"id":"kp-cites-acemoglu-restrepo-2019-wrong-kind-of-ai-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019","subject":"acemoglu-restrepo-2019-wrong-kind-of-ai","predicate":"cites","object":{"kind":"entity","entityId":"kp-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019"},"topic":"ideas","statement":"The Wrong Kind of AI? Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Labor Demand cites Robots and Jobs: Evidence from US Labor Markets.","time":{"kind":"event","date":"2019-03","basis":"publication","note":"Date of the citing source as recorded in the dataset; unknown where the dataset has none."},"derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","evidenceIds":["evidence-kp-cites-acemoglu-restrepo-2019-wrong-kind-of-ai-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-1"]},{"id":"kp-authored-daron-acemoglu-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019","subject":"daron-acemoglu","predicate":"authored","object":{"kind":"entity","entityId":"kp-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019"},"topic":"ideas","statement":"Daron Acemoglu is a credited author of Robots and Jobs: Evidence from US Labor Markets.","time":{"kind":"event","date":"2020","basis":"publication","note":"Date of the work’s earliest recorded version (2020), at the precision its source gives."},"derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","evidenceIds":["evidence-kp-authored-daron-acemoglu-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-1"]},{"id":"kp-authored-pascual-restrepo-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019","subject":"pascual-restrepo","predicate":"authored","object":{"kind":"entity","entityId":"kp-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019"},"topic":"ideas","statement":"Pascual Restrepo is a credited author of Robots and Jobs: Evidence from US Labor Markets.","time":{"kind":"event","date":"2020","basis":"publication","note":"Date of the work’s earliest recorded version (2020), at the precision its source gives."},"derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","editorialState":"seed","evidenceIds":["evidence-kp-authored-pascual-restrepo-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-1"]}],"sources":[{"id":"source-kp-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-text","documentId":"kp-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019","title":"Robots and Jobs: Evidence from US Labor Markets","authors":["Daron Acemoglu","Pascual Restrepo"],"publisher":"National Bureau of Economic Research","publicationDate":null,"version":"NBER Working Paper 23285, read because the journal text is not open; its quotations are scoped to the working paper. The pack recorded no date for the working paper. Retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-28 (SHA-256 73374f5498c421d16b6f8b90c1bb537a0e972d5d015366dea05155fae660e00d). The author list is the byline as printed on the first page.","evidenceUrl":"https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w23285/w23285.pdf","language":"en"},{"id":"source-kp-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-crossref","documentId":"kp-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019","title":"Robots and Jobs: Evidence from US Labor Markets","authors":["Crossref"],"publisher":"Crossref","publicationDate":"2020","version":"Crossref record of the journal version: Journal of Political Economy, vol. 128, no. 6, pp. 2188-2244 (DOI 10.1086/705716), retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-28. The date is the publisher-deposited date, kept at year precision; it was not checked against the issue.","evidenceUrl":"https://api.crossref.org/works/10.1086/705716","language":"en"}],"evidence":[{"id":"evidence-kp-states-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-1-1","claimId":"kp-states-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-1","sourceId":"source-kp-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-text","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","locator":"NBER Working Paper 23285 (March 2017), PDF p. 2, abstract","passage":"We analyze the effect of the increase in industrial robot usage between 1990 and 2007 on US local labor markets.","verification":"machine_checked"},{"id":"evidence-kp-cites-trammell-korinek-2020-growth-under-transformative-ai-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-1","claimId":"kp-cites-trammell-korinek-2020-growth-under-transformative-ai-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019","sourceId":"source-trammell-korinek-2020-growth-under-transformative-ai","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","verification":"machine_checked"},{"id":"evidence-kp-cites-acemoglu-2024-simple-macroeconomics-of-ai-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-1","claimId":"kp-cites-acemoglu-2024-simple-macroeconomics-of-ai-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019","sourceId":"source-acemoglu-2024-mit","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","verification":"machine_checked"},{"id":"evidence-kp-cites-acemoglu-restrepo-2018-ai-automation-and-work-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-1","claimId":"kp-cites-acemoglu-restrepo-2018-ai-automation-and-work-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019","sourceId":"source-acemoglu-restrepo-2018-ai-automation-and-work","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","verification":"machine_checked"},{"id":"evidence-kp-cites-agrawal-gans-goldfarb-2018-economic-policy-for-ai-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-1","claimId":"kp-cites-agrawal-gans-goldfarb-2018-economic-policy-for-ai-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019","sourceId":"source-agrawal-gans-goldfarb-2018-economic-policy-for-ai","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","verification":"machine_checked"},{"id":"evidence-kp-cites-agrawal-gans-goldfarb-2019-ambiguous-labor-market-impact-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-1","claimId":"kp-cites-agrawal-gans-goldfarb-2019-ambiguous-labor-market-impact-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019","sourceId":"source-agrawal-gans-goldfarb-2019-ambiguous-labor-market-impact","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","verification":"machine_checked"},{"id":"evidence-kp-cites-acemoglu-restrepo-2019-wrong-kind-of-ai-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-1","claimId":"kp-cites-acemoglu-restrepo-2019-wrong-kind-of-ai-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019","sourceId":"source-acemoglu-restrepo-2019-wrong-kind-of-ai","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","verification":"machine_checked"},{"id":"evidence-kp-authored-daron-acemoglu-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-1","claimId":"kp-authored-daron-acemoglu-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019","sourceId":"source-kp-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-text","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","verification":"machine_checked"},{"id":"evidence-kp-authored-pascual-restrepo-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-1","claimId":"kp-authored-pascual-restrepo-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019","sourceId":"source-kp-robots-jobs-evidence-from-us-2019-text","sourceRole":"primary","support":"supports","verification":"machine_checked"}],"at":{"entities":[530,534,541,546,547,548,848,912,1476],"claims":[3798,4253,4254,4255,4256,4257,4258,4593,4594],"sources":[1319,1320],"evidence":[5256,5711,5712,5713,5714,5715,5716,6051,6052]},"index":{"byClaim":[],"marks":[["acemoglu-2024-simple-macroeconomics-of-ai",[{"collectionId":"economics-of-machine-intelligence","propositionId":"modest-near-term-ai-productivity-effect","claimId":"ec-g08-acemoglu-2024-simple-macroeconomics-of-ai-a","text":"Earliest located in tier 1 of Economics of machine intelligence for G08 AI’s near-term aggregate productivity effect is modest"},{"collectionId":"economics-of-machine-intelligence","propositionId":"ai-productivity-over-next-decade","claimId":"ec-m08-acemoglu-2024-simple-macroeconomics-of-ai-a","text":"Earliest located in tier 1 of Economics of machine intelligence for M08 AI’s productivity effect over the next decade"}]]],"chronicle":{"years":[{"year":1863,"topics":{"ideas":5},"stated":0},{"year":1865,"topics":{"ideas":1},"stated":0},{"year":1872,"topics":{"ideas":7},"stated":0},{"year":1943,"topics":{"ideas":1},"stated":0},{"year":1947,"topics":{"ideas":2},"stated":0},{"year":1950,"topics":{"ideas":7},"stated":0},{"year":1951,"topics":{"ideas":5},"stated":0},{"year":1952,"topics":{"ideas":2},"stated":0},{"year":1955,"topics":{"ideas":31},"stated":0},{"year":1956,"topics":{"ideas":1},"stated":0},{"year":1957,"topics":{"ideas":1},"stated":0},{"year":1958,"topics":{"ideas":3},"stated":0},{"year":1959,"topics":{"ideas":6},"stated":0},{"year":1960,"topics":{"ideas":11},"stated":0},{"year":1961,"topics":{"ideas":10},"stated":0},{"year":1965,"topics":{"ideas":8},"stated":0},{"year":1966,"topics":{"ideas":20},"stated":0},{"year":1968,"topics":{"ideas":5},"stated":0},{"year":1969,"topics":{"ideas":2},"stated":0},{"year":1971,"topics":{"ideas":4},"stated":0},{"year":1972,"topics":{"ideas":1},"stated":0},{"year":1973,"topics":{"ideas":2},"stated":0},{"year":1974,"topics":{"ideas":2},"stated":0},{"year":1975,"topics":{"ideas":1},"stated":0},{"year":1976,"topics":{"ideas":1},"stated":0},{"year":1977,"topics":{"people":2,"ideas":8},"stated":0},{"year":1979,"topics":{"ideas":4},"stated":0},{"year":1980,"topics":{"ideas":2},"stated":0},{"year":1981,"topics":{"people":2},"stated":0},{"year":1982,"topics":{"ideas":4},"stated":0},{"year":1983,"topics":{"ideas":4},"stated":0},{"year":1984,"topics":{"ideas":21},"stated":0},{"year":1985,"topics":{"ideas":9},"stated":0},{"year":1986,"topics":{"ideas":18},"stated":0},{"year":1987,"topics":{"ideas":1},"stated":0},{"year":1988,"topics":{"ideas":6},"stated":0},{"year":1989,"topics":{"ideas":8},"stated":0},{"year":1990,"topics":{"ideas":5},"stated":0},{"year":1991,"topics":{"ideas":11},"stated":0},{"year":1992,"topics":{"ideas":9},"stated":0},{"year":1993,"topics":{"ideas":14,"people":3},"stated":0},{"year":1994,"topics":{"ideas":14},"stated":0},{"year":1995,"topics":{"ideas":10,"people":1},"stated":0},{"year":1996,"topics":{"ideas":71},"stated":0},{"year":1997,"topics":{"ideas":12},"stated":0},{"year":1998,"topics":{"ideas":49},"stated":0},{"year":1999,"topics":{"ideas":27,"people":1,"institutions":1},"stated":0},{"year":2000,"topics":{"ideas":62},"stated":0},{"year":2001,"topics":{"ideas":39},"stated":0},{"year":2002,"topics":{"ideas":30},"stated":0},{"year":2003,"topics":{"ideas":8},"stated":0},{"year":2004,"topics":{"ideas":12,"people":3},"stated":0},{"year":2005,"topics":{"ideas":10,"people":1},"stated":0},{"year":2006,"topics":{"ideas":26,"people":1},"stated":0},{"year":2007,"topics":{"ideas":20},"stated":0},{"year":2008,"topics":{"ideas":57,"people":3,"institutions":1},"stated":0},{"year":2009,"topics":{"ideas":10,"people":1},"stated":0},{"year":2010,"topics":{"people":3,"ideas":11,"institutions":1,"governance":4},"stated":0},{"year":2011,"topics":{"people":3,"ideas":7,"institutions":2},"stated":0},{"year":2012,"topics":{"people":4,"ideas":17,"institutions":2},"stated":0},{"year":2013,"topics":{"ideas":46,"people":4,"institutions":2,"capital":1},"stated":0},{"year":2014,"topics":{"institutions":2,"ideas":54,"people":5},"stated":0},{"year":2015,"topics":{"people":22,"ideas":122,"institutions":3,"capital":1},"stated":0},{"year":2016,"topics":{"ideas":88,"people":2},"stated":0},{"year":2017,"topics":{"people":16,"institutions":2,"ideas":128,"governance":2},"stated":0},{"year":2018,"topics":{"people":8,"ideas":158,"institutions":8,"governance":1},"stated":0},{"year":2019,"topics":{"capital":1,"compute":1,"people":10,"governance":19,"ideas":175,"institutions":4},"stated":0},{"year":2020,"topics":{"people":6,"ideas":98,"institutions":1,"governance":2},"stated":0},{"year":2021,"topics":{"people":27,"ideas":177,"compute":1,"institutions":23,"governance":4,"capital":6},"stated":0},{"year":2022,"topics":{"people":15,"ideas":217,"institutions":6,"governance":3,"compute":2,"capital":1},"stated":0},{"year":2023,"topics":{"capital":5,"compute":7,"institutions":23,"people":51,"governance":179,"ideas":389},"stated":0},{"year":2024,"topics":{"capital":12,"compute":19,"governance":282,"people":80,"ideas":178,"institutions":28},"stated":1},{"year":2025,"topics":{"governance":547,"compute":69,"capital":34,"people":90,"institutions":18,"ideas":178},"stated":7},{"year":2026,"topics":{"governance":442,"capital":8,"compute":32,"institutions":21,"ideas":91,"people":107},"stated":19},{"year":2027,"topics":{},"stated":9},{"year":2028,"topics":{},"stated":6},{"year":2029,"topics":{},"stated":3},{"year":2030,"topics":{},"stated":3},{"year":2032,"topics":{},"stated":2},{"year":2035,"topics":{},"stated":2},{"year":2039,"topics":{},"stated":1},{"year":2042,"topics":{},"stated":1},{"year":2050,"topics":{},"stated":1}],"scheduled":[],"statedBy":[]},"collections":[{"target":{"kind":"propositions","id":"superintelligence"},"title":"Propositions about superintelligence, 1863–2022","claimIds":[],"records":[]},{"target":{"kind":"propositions","id":"risk-debate"},"title":"Arguments about catastrophic risk from advanced AI","claimIds":[],"records":[]},{"target":{"kind":"propositions","id":"yudkowsky-arguments"},"title":"Eliezer Yudkowsky’s arguments on common claims about AI, 1996–2026","claimIds":[],"records":[]},{"target":{"kind":"propositions","id":"economics-of-machine-intelligence"},"title":"Economics of machine intelligence","claimIds":[],"records":[]},{"target":{"kind":"propositions","id":"orbital-compute-arguments"},"title":"Arguments about compute in orbit","claimIds":[],"records":[]},{"target":{"kind":"propositions","id":"ai-bio-arguments"},"title":"Arguments about AI and biological risk","claimIds":[],"records":[]},{"target":{"kind":"propositions","id":"ai-in-science"},"title":"AI in science","claimIds":[],"records":[]},{"target":{"kind":"documents"},"title":"Frontier safety frameworks","claimIds":[]},{"target":{"kind":"compare","id":"frontier-safety-frameworks"},"title":"Compare frameworks","claimIds":[]},{"target":{"kind":"control","id":"openai"},"title":"OpenAI’s control structure, 2015–2026","claimIds":[]},{"target":{"kind":"control","id":"anthropic"},"title":"Anthropic’s control structure, 2021–2026","claimIds":[]},{"target":{"kind":"commitments"},"title":"External commitments and obligations","claimIds":[]},{"target":{"kind":"question","id":"frameworks-to-obligations"},"title":"Frameworks, commitments and legal obligations, 2023–2026","claimIds":[]},{"target":{"kind":"reading"},"title":"Founding and early leadership","claimIds":[]}]},"version":"131evrz"}