{"entities":[{"id":"solomonoff-1985-time-scale","shortName":"Solomonoff, The Time Scale of Artificial Intelligence (1985)","type":"document"},{"id":"ray-j-solomonoff","name":"Ray J. Solomonoff","type":"person"}],"claims":[{"id":"ts-a1-solomonoff-1985","subject":"solomonoff-1985-time-scale","predicate":"articulates_proposition","object":{"kind":"entity","entityId":"intelligence-explosion"},"topic":"ideas","statement":"Solomonoff’s paper models a computer-science community, partly made of artificial computer scientists, whose growth improves the efficiency of computing, which in turn speeds its growth; once that community is as large as the human one, the halving time of computing costs itself halves.","time":{"kind":"event","date":"1985","basis":"publication","note":"Year of Human Systems Management 5, as given in the author’s file and publication list."},"derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","attributes":{"thought":{"roles":["articulation"],"register":"nonfiction","qualifier":"A conditional model of a partly artificial research community.","attested":{"date":"2006-07-16","note":"The author’s later typesetting, with a later affiliation and contact details; a byte-identical copy at the author’s earlier address was captured on 2006-07-16. Not compared with the 1985 journal pages."}}}},{"id":"ts-a5-solomonoff-1985","subject":"solomonoff-1985-time-scale","predicate":"articulates_proposition","object":{"kind":"entity","entityId":"ai-automated-ai-research"},"topic":"ideas","statement":"Solomonoff’s paper says that artificial computer scientists will help speed the construction of new machines.","time":{"kind":"event","date":"1985","basis":"publication","note":"Year of Human Systems Management 5, as given in the author’s file and publication list."},"derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","attributes":{"thought":{"roles":["articulation"],"register":"nonfiction","attested":{"date":"2006-07-16","note":"The author’s later typesetting, with a later affiliation and contact details; a byte-identical copy at the author’s earlier address was captured on 2006-07-16. Not compared with the 1985 journal pages."}}}},{"id":"ts-a3-solomonoff-1985-context","subject":"solomonoff-1985-time-scale","predicate":"bears_on_proposition","object":{"kind":"entity","entityId":"recursive-self-improvement"},"topic":"ideas","statement":"Solomonoff’s paper couples the size of a partly artificial research community with the efficiency of computing.","time":{"kind":"event","date":"1985","basis":"publication","note":"Year of Human Systems Management 5, as given in the author’s file and publication list."},"derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","attributes":{"thought":{"roles":["context"],"register":"nonfiction","missing":"The feedback runs through adding artificial computer scientists to a community and cheapening computation, not through one system improving its own capacity to improve.","attested":{"date":"2006-07-16","note":"The author’s later typesetting, with a later affiliation and contact details; a byte-identical copy at the author’s earlier address was captured on 2006-07-16. Not compared with the 1985 journal pages."}}}},{"id":"ts-a4-solomonoff-1985-context","subject":"solomonoff-1985-time-scale","predicate":"bears_on_proposition","object":{"kind":"entity","entityId":"fast-or-hard-takeoff"},"topic":"ideas","statement":"Solomonoff’s paper gives illustrative times of about ten years and more for its later milestones.","time":{"kind":"event","date":"1985","basis":"publication","note":"Year of Human Systems Management 5, as given in the author’s file and publication list."},"derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","attributes":{"thought":{"roles":["context"],"register":"nonfiction","missing":"The illustrative transitions take years or decades, not hours to months.","attested":{"date":"2006-07-16","note":"The author’s later typesetting, with a later affiliation and contact details; a byte-identical copy at the author’s earlier address was captured on 2006-07-16. Not compared with the 1985 journal pages."}}}},{"id":"ap-ray-j-solomonoff-solomonoff-1985-time-scale","subject":"ray-j-solomonoff","predicate":"authored","object":{"kind":"entity","entityId":"solomonoff-1985-time-scale"},"topic":"ideas","statement":"“The Time Scale of Artificial Intelligence: Reflections on Social Effects” (1985) credits Ray J. Solomonoff as its author.","time":{"kind":"event","date":"1985","basis":"publication","note":"Date the source record gives for this text; authorship is credited in the inspected expression."},"derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported"}],"sources":[],"evidence":[],"at":{"entities":[268,924],"claims":[803,804,805,806,2328],"sources":[],"evidence":[]},"version":"1lg47t7"}