{"entities":[{"id":"drexler-1995-future-forecasts","shortName":"Drexler, Future Forecasts (Extropy 15, 1995)","type":"document"},{"id":"miller-1995-future-forecasts","shortName":"Miller, Future Forecasts (Extropy 15, 1995)","type":"document"}],"claims":[{"id":"ts-a1-drexler-1995-context","subject":"drexler-1995-future-forecasts","predicate":"bears_on_proposition","object":{"kind":"entity","entityId":"intelligence-explosion"},"topic":"ideas","statement":"Drexler’s 1995 forecast comment argues that better computational and material tools accelerate further tool improvement, that a slow trickle of progress seems unlikely, and that computation and molecular machinery could reinforce each other while competing with other technologies. Recorded as bearing on the proposition “Intelligence explosion”.","time":{"kind":"event","date":"1995","basis":"publication","note":"Printed footers: 2nd–3rd Quarter 1995."},"derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","attributes":{"thought":{"roles":["context"],"register":"nonfiction","missing":"Computational and material tools accelerate each other; machine intelligence’s own design ability is not the driver."}}},{"id":"ts-a3-drexler-1995-context","subject":"drexler-1995-future-forecasts","predicate":"bears_on_proposition","object":{"kind":"entity","entityId":"recursive-self-improvement"},"topic":"ideas","statement":"Drexler’s 1995 forecast comment argues that better computational and material tools accelerate further tool improvement, that a slow trickle of progress seems unlikely, and that computation and molecular machinery could reinforce each other while competing with other technologies. Recorded as bearing on the proposition “Recursive self-improvement”.","time":{"kind":"event","date":"1995","basis":"publication","note":"Printed footers: 2nd–3rd Quarter 1995."},"derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","attributes":{"thought":{"roles":["context"],"register":"nonfiction","missing":"Better tools build better tools, without an intelligent system improving its own capacity."}}},{"id":"ts-a5-drexler-1995-context","subject":"drexler-1995-future-forecasts","predicate":"bears_on_proposition","object":{"kind":"entity","entityId":"ai-automated-ai-research"},"topic":"ideas","statement":"Drexler’s 1995 forecast comment argues that better computational and material tools accelerate further tool improvement, that a slow trickle of progress seems unlikely, and that computation and molecular machinery could reinforce each other while competing with other technologies. Recorded as bearing on the proposition “AI-automated AI research”.","time":{"kind":"event","date":"1995","basis":"publication","note":"Printed footers: 2nd–3rd Quarter 1995."},"derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","attributes":{"thought":{"roles":["context"],"register":"nonfiction","missing":"Computation and molecular machinery improve each other, without automating AI research."}}},{"id":"ts-a6-drexler-1995-context","subject":"drexler-1995-future-forecasts","predicate":"bears_on_proposition","object":{"kind":"entity","entityId":"race-compression"},"topic":"ideas","statement":"Drexler’s 1995 forecast comment argues that better computational and material tools accelerate further tool improvement, that a slow trickle of progress seems unlikely, and that computation and molecular machinery could reinforce each other while competing with other technologies. Recorded as bearing on the proposition “Strategic or race compression”.","time":{"kind":"event","date":"1995","basis":"publication","note":"Printed footers: 2nd–3rd Quarter 1995."},"derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","attributes":{"thought":{"roles":["context"],"register":"nonfiction","missing":"Technology races are named, without a decisive first-developer advantage or a trade of safety."}}},{"id":"ts-a4-miller-1995-context","subject":"miller-1995-future-forecasts","predicate":"bears_on_proposition","object":{"kind":"entity","entityId":"fast-or-hard-takeoff"},"topic":"ideas","statement":"Miller’s 1995 forecast comment treats the singularity as the uncertain centre of a cluster of technological events, and expects successful uploads and uploads running a thousand times faster to arrive at about the same time.","time":{"kind":"event","date":"1995","basis":"publication","note":"Printed footers: 2nd–3rd Quarter 1995."},"derivation":"explicit","resolution":"supported","attributes":{"thought":{"roles":["context"],"register":"nonfiction","missing":"Closely clustered technological events and fast uploads, without a transition period from human level to far superhuman AI."}}}],"sources":[],"evidence":[],"at":{"entities":[283,284],"claims":[852,853,854,855,856],"sources":[],"evidence":[]},"version":"1lg47t7"}