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Nordhaus, “Are We Approaching an Economic Singularity? Information Technology and the Future of Economic Growth” (2015-09) bears on E04. Nordhaus compares the diffusion of superintelligence technology with that of weapons technology. Copy claim link
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Date 2015-09 · publication Role Context Register (kind of text) Nonfiction Missing element Diffusion to adversaries, not how developers' incentives or governance affect safety. Tier Tier 1. NBER working paper (core venue); Nordhaus an economist. Scope and limits Nordhaus's own view on diffusion; it does not analyse developers' incentives for safety.
The evidence 01 primary source Supports the claim
Are We Approaching an Economic Singularity? Information Technology and the Future of Economic Growth ↗ NBER Working Paper 21547 · 2015-09
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Source excerpt “We must therefore assume that those who develop the engines of superintelligence will eventually find they are sharing them with evil agents – with their military, commercial, and political adversaries.” Location in source NBER WP 21547, sec. X.f, p. 39
Machine-checked · 2026-10-16
Source details and check notes Authors William D. Nordhaus Version Full text. Current copy retrieved directly on 2026-10-09; no archive capture (Wayback unreachable), so earlier bytes are not authenticated. SHA-256 cb481e5e99ef9bad8575d9150bcc8464eda4904722cc5048389ab6159858b062. Journal version not retrieved. Nordhaus, W. D. (2021). Are we approaching an economic singularity? Information technology and the future of economic growth. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 13(1), 299–332. https://doi.org/10.1257/mac.20170105 Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-09 Language English (en) Attribution William D. Nordhaus, “Are We Approaching an Economic Singularity? Information Technology and the Future of Economic Growth”, NBER Working Paper 21547, 2015-09. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Candidate pack passage E04-07 (research/economics-mainstream/esoteric). The quotation (30 words) matched the retrieved current copy (SHA-256 cb481e5e99ef9bad8575d9150bcc8464eda4904722cc5048389ab6159858b062) in the pack's verification of 2026-10-15. Re-checked at admission on 2026-10-16 against a copy retrieved that day. Status and meaning Editorial status. Not reviewed by an editor . An exploratory record that no editor has accepted. This status does not say whether a person has read any linked passage. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.
Relation. A passage of the document bears on the proposition without meeting its criterion; the record names the missing element. It is not an articulation and implies no influence.
Date. Cover "September 2015". Checked in a current copy; an archive capture was not available, so earlier bytes are not authenticated.
Record ID ec-e04-nordhaus-2015-economic-singularity-b