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Clancy and Besiroglu, “The Great Inflection? A Debate About AI and Explosive Growth” (2023-06) contests G05. Speaker: Tamay Besiroglu. Besiroglu sets three conditions a resource bottleneck must meet (vital, hard to substitute, impossible to expand by an order of magnitude); he also argues that experiments can be parallelised and that regulation faces strong incentives to be bypassed. Copy claim link
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Date 2023-06 · publication Wording attested 2023-12-23. Only retrieved capture. Claimed date 2023. "back-and-forths ... in spring of 2023"; the original exchange was not retrieved and the published dialogue may be edited. Role Contesting Register (kind of text) Nonfiction Engagement Engages a premise. Gives reasons in the same turn against the premises that resource limits and experiment times bind. Tier Tier 2. Tier 2 (unchanged). Magazine debate (Asterisk). The magazine introduces Matt Clancy as an economist and Tamay Besiroglu as a research scientist. Judgement recorded: no turn is itself a substantive scholarly argument; each answers the previous turn and argues by verbal sketches of others' models, with no model or derivation of its own, so the debate rule applies to both speakers. Scope and limits The quotation is a turn by Tamay Besiroglu in a dialogue. On regulation the same turn says only that its effect "is plausible, but I'm not confident it will" keep growth near historical rates.
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The Great Inflection? A Debate About AI and Explosive Growth ↗ Asterisk magazine, issue 03 · 2023-06
Archived copy, captured 2023-12-23: The Great Inflection? A Debate About AI and Explosive Growth ↗
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Source excerpt “I remain unconvinced by the arguments of specific resource bottlenecks that people often bring up.” Location in source Tamay Besiroglu's turn beginning "I agree that reality is messy", paragraph on resource bottlenecks
Machine-checked · 2026-10-14
Source details and check notes Authors Matt Clancy; Tamay Besiroglu Version Wayback capture of asteriskmag.com/issues/03/the-great-inflection-a-debate-about-ai-and-explosive-growth. Capture retrieved 2026-10-08 (SHA-256 e8b29f97be40d49c282cac8d279cc008644b822a4607533999157375d01753d1). Published version: Clancy, M., & Besiroglu, T. (2023, June). The great inflection? A debate about AI and explosive growth. Asterisk, (3). Magazine debate. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-08 Language English (en) Archive copy Open archived copy, captured 2023-12-23: The Great Inflection? A Debate About AI and Explosive Growth ↗ . An archive copy shows only what the archive retrieved on 2023-12-23. It does not prove what the page said earlier, and it can differ from the copy checked on 2026-10-08.Attribution Matt Clancy, Tamay Besiroglu, “The Great Inflection? A Debate About AI and Explosive Growth”, Asterisk magazine, issue 03, 2023-06. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Candidate pack passage G05-f (research/economics-growth). The quotation (15 words) matched the checked expression (asterisk-debate) in the pack's verification. Re-checked at admission on 2026-10-14 against a copy retrieved that day, whose SHA-256 differs from the recorded one. Status and meaning Editorial status. Not reviewed by an editor . An exploratory record that no editor has accepted. This status does not say whether a person has read any linked passage. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.
Relation. A passage of the document disputes the proposition or a premise it depends on. The record documents the text’s position, not who is right.
Date. Page: "Published June 2023". The introduction states the conversation "is based on a series of back-and-forths Matt and Tamay had in spring of 2023".
Record ID ec-g05-clancy-besiroglu-2023-great-inflection-c