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De Garis's article of 1989 states that the artilect issue will divide humanity into two camps, which he labels "the Terras" and "the Cosmists", and that the conflict between them will be the dominant source of global political conflict in the 21st century. It states that the Cosmists will pursue a policy of mutual deterrence, so that the century will politically resemble the twentieth, with weapon systems "all the more horrific and artilectual". Copy claim link
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Supporting evidence: primary · 1 source
Date 1989 · publication Records dated 1989 → Role Earliest located, Earliest located use of the name Register (kind of text) Nonfiction Name used “Cosmist” Scope and limits Presented as 'my own contribution to the artilect debate', a scenario the author finds plausible without necessarily believing it. The article spells the name "Terras" (with "Terran majority"); "Cosmists" is the name used. The article then writes that "a way out of this dilemma might be found": mass migration of the Cosmists to an outer planet.
The evidence 03 primary source Supports the claim
What If AI Succeeds? The Rise of the Twenty-First Century Artilect ↗ AI Magazine 10(2), Summer 1989, pp. 17–22 (AAAI); publisher's PDF at ojs.aaai.org · 1989
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Source excerpt “I see humanity being split into two ideological camps, which I label, respectively, the Terras, (as they might colloquially come to be known) and the Cosmists.” Location in source p. 21, 'Scenario 1'
How it was read Retrieved directly from the publisher
Machine-checked · 2026-11-01
Source details and check notes Authors Hugo de Garis Version Retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-31 (SHA-256 bfb40a7efb65b582325b9800ab23b1f9f854898188951d992996bc3dd0827fb5). Publisher's PDF of the printed article (AI Magazine Volume 10 Number 2, 1989); retrieved with a plain curl user agent because the site's bot challenge blocks browser user agents. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-31 Language English (en) Attribution Hugo de Garis, “What If AI Succeeds? The Rise of the Twenty-First Century Artilect”, 1989. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Candidate pack passage, machine succession, scale and acceleration (research/heterodox-thought). The quotation (26 words) matched the text retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-31. Matching ignored differences of whitespace, case, quotation marks, dashes and Unicode compatibility forms, so the source’s typography can differ. A cross-family machine check (2026-11-01, item 13) classified the record’s passage blind and reached the same stance. No human editorial review. primary source Supports the claim
What If AI Succeeds? The Rise of the Twenty-First Century Artilect ↗ AI Magazine 10(2), Summer 1989, pp. 17–22 (AAAI); publisher's PDF at ojs.aaai.org · 1989
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Source excerpt “The dominant source of global political conflict in the twenty-first century will be between these two groups.” Location in source p. 21, 'The Cosmists'
How it was read Retrieved directly from the publisher
Machine-checked · 2026-11-01
Source details and check notes Authors Hugo de Garis Version Retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-31 (SHA-256 bfb40a7efb65b582325b9800ab23b1f9f854898188951d992996bc3dd0827fb5). Publisher's PDF of the printed article (AI Magazine Volume 10 Number 2, 1989); retrieved with a plain curl user agent because the site's bot challenge blocks browser user agents. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-31 Language English (en) Attribution Hugo de Garis, “What If AI Succeeds? The Rise of the Twenty-First Century Artilect”, 1989. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Candidate pack passage, machine succession, scale and acceleration (research/heterodox-thought). The quotation (17 words) matched the text retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-31. Matching ignored differences of whitespace, case, quotation marks, dashes and Unicode compatibility forms, so the source’s typography can differ. A cross-family machine check (2026-11-01, item 13) classified the record’s passage blind and reached the same stance. No human editorial review. primary source Supports the claim
What If AI Succeeds? The Rise of the Twenty-First Century Artilect ↗ AI Magazine 10(2), Summer 1989, pp. 17–22 (AAAI); publisher's PDF at ojs.aaai.org · 1989
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Cite the original source Cite the original document, not Selekoa. Check these details against it.
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Source excerpt “so that the twenty-first century, politically speaking, will be similar to the twentieth century, only the weapon systems will be all the more horrific and artilectual.” Location in source p. 21
How it was read Retrieved directly from the publisher
Machine-checked · 2026-11-01
Source details and check notes Authors Hugo de Garis Version Retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-31 (SHA-256 bfb40a7efb65b582325b9800ab23b1f9f854898188951d992996bc3dd0827fb5). Publisher's PDF of the printed article (AI Magazine Volume 10 Number 2, 1989); retrieved with a plain curl user agent because the site's bot challenge blocks browser user agents. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-31 Language English (en) Attribution Hugo de Garis, “What If AI Succeeds? The Rise of the Twenty-First Century Artilect”, 1989. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Candidate pack passage, machine succession, scale and acceleration (research/heterodox-thought). The quotation (26 words) matched the text retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-31. Matching ignored differences of whitespace, case, quotation marks, dashes and Unicode compatibility forms, so the source’s typography can differ. A cross-family machine check (2026-11-01, item 13) classified the record’s passage blind and reached the same stance. No human editorial review. Status and meaning Editorial status. Machine-checked . Machines found this record and checked it against its sources; no person accepted it individually. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.
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Record ID ht-w04-degaris-1989-what-if-ai-succeeds