Claim · 1989 · publication · Stated in source · Supported

“What If AI Succeeds? The Rise of the Twenty-First Century Artilect” (1989) states a prediction by Hugo de Garis: “it will be commonplace to say that the twenty-first century will be dominated by the machine if humanity so chooses—and maybe even if not”; horizon as stated: In 20 years time. The record says nothing about whether the event happened.

One recorded claim. The claim panel gives its qualification, the source passages with their place in each source, and how it was checked.

What it connects

What If AI Succeeds? The Rise of the Twenty-First Century Artilect → states a prediction → it will be commonplace to say that the twenty-first century will be dominated by the machine if humanity so chooses—and maybe even if not

Where it appears

Predictions on record →

Claim and evidence

What If AI Succeeds? The Rise of the Twenty-First Century Artilectstates a prediction ↓it will be commonplace to say that the twenty-first century will be dominated by the machine if humanity so chooses—and maybe even if not

Machine-checkedStated in sourceSupported

Supporting evidence: primary · 1 source

Date: 1989 · publication Records dated 1989 →

Scope and limitsThe predicted event is a change in what people will say, not a machine capability. Checked against the dataset's passage from the same article. A reviewer from a different model family could not retrieve the article either (a bot challenge, a refused copy and no matching archive capture).

The evidence 01

primary sourceSupports the claim

What If AI Succeeds? The Rise of the Twenty-First Century Artilect

AI Magazine 10(2), Summer 1989, pp. 17–22 (AAAI); publisher's PDF at ojs.aaai.org · 1989

Cite the original source

Cite the original document, not Selekoa. Check these details against it.

Source excerpt

“In 20 years time, it will be commonplace to say that the twenty-first century will be dominated by the machine if humanity so chooses—and maybe even if not.”

Location in source Article text (as in the dataset record ht-w01-degaris-1989-what-if-ai-succeeds)

Machine-checked · 2026-11-02

Source details and check notes

Authors: Hugo de Garis
Version: Retrieved for the candidate pack on 2026-10-31 (SHA-256 bfb40a7efb65b582325b9800ab23b1f9f854898188951d992996bc3dd0827fb5). Publisher's PDF of the printed article (AI Magazine Volume 10 Number 2, 1989); retrieved with a plain curl user agent because the site's bot challenge blocks browser user agents.
Canonical address: Open the canonical source ↗
Accessed: 2026-10-31
Language: English (en)
Attribution: Hugo de Garis, “What If AI Succeeds? The Rise of the Twenty-First Century Artilect”, 1989.
Reuse: No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution.
Check notes: Checked against the dataset’s checked passage from the same source. Copy read: Checked against the dataset's passage; the article could not be retrieved on 2 and 3 November 2026. Machine-checked; no human editorial review.

Status and meaning

Editorial status. Machine-checked. Machines found this record and checked it against its sources; no person accepted it individually. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.

Relation. The document states a prediction: an event, by a date or within a horizon, in the document’s own words. The record is dated by the document, never by the target date. It documents what the text states and when; it says nothing about whether the event happened, and it implies no agreement or influence.

Date. Publication date of the text.

Record ID pr-b-degaris-1989-commonplace