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The post “There's No Fire Alarm for Artificial General Intelligence” (2017-10-13) contests Y08. Argues that, as with flight and nuclear fission, no event before AGI itself will create common knowledge that it is time to act, so waiting for such a signal means not acting. Copy claim link
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Supporting evidence: primary · 1 source
Date 2017-10-13 · publication Role Contesting Register (kind of text) Nonfiction Engagement Engages a premise. Under the message-level rule, the passage, read with the paragraph, message or dialogue turn it belongs to, gives a reason against the premise that there will be a recognisable, consensus-forming signal in time to act. Scope and limits Premise addressed: There will be a recognisable, consensus-forming signal in time to act. Quote truncated mid-sentence; the sentence continues 'that lets people act without feeling nervous about whether they're worrying too early'.
The evidence 01 primary source Supports the claim
There's No Fire Alarm for Artificial General Intelligence ↗ LessWrong · 2017-10-13
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Source excerpt “I do predict in a very general sense that there will be no fire alarm that is not an actual running AGI--no unmistakable sign before then that everyone knows and agrees on…” Location in source paragraph beginning 'But no matter how the details play out'
Machine-checked · 2026-10-06
Source details and check notes Authors Eliezer Yudkowsky Version Post body retrieved through the LessWrong GraphQL API on 2026-10-06 (SHA-256 cfa915be6c74c0b6463dd2d92069c39ba3016a66ee3e06c38199542b52cb0ed0), content version 1.0.0. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-06 Language English (en) Attribution Eliezer Yudkowsky, “There's No Fire Alarm for Artificial General Intelligence”, LessWrong, 2017-10-13. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Candidate pack passage T08-c. The quotation (32 words) matched the retrieved expression (SHA-256 cfa915be6c74c0b6463dd2d92069c39ba3016a66ee3e06c38199542b52cb0ed0) when checked on 2026-10-06. Status and meaning Editorial status. Not reviewed by an editor . An exploratory record that no editor has accepted. This status does not say whether a person has read any linked passage. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.
Relation. A passage of the document disputes the proposition or a premise it depends on. The record documents the text’s position, not who is right.
Date. LessWrong postedAt.
Record ID yk-y08-lw-2017-theres-no-fire-alarm-for-artificial-c