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The Extropians message “Re: Singularity: The Moore's Law Argument” (1998-09-18) contests Y10. Replying to Robin Hanson's critique of the 'Moore's Law argument', he concedes that the 'Recursive Moore's Law' section of 'Staring Into the Singularity' was an illustration, not a technical argument, but maintains that technologically enhanced intelligence creates positive feedback. Copy claim link
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Supporting evidence: primary · 1 source
Date 1998-09-18 · publication Role Contesting, Later restatement Register (kind of text) Nonfiction Engagement Engages a premise. Under the message-level rule, the passage, read with the paragraph, message or dialogue turn it belongs to, gives a reason against the premise that returns to reinvesting cognitive gains in further cognitive improvement diminish. Scope and limits Premise addressed: Returns to reinvesting cognitive gains in further cognitive improvement diminish. The opening paragraph's concession bears on the passage in 'Staring into the Singularity': he calls it an introduction or illustration of explosive growth 'not a technical argument in favor of it'. The same message disowns the 1996 recursive-Moore's-Law scenario as a technical argument.
The evidence 01 primary source Supports the claim
Re: Singularity: The Moore's Law Argument (Extropians mailing list) ↗ Extropians mailing list · 1998-09-18
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Source excerpt “Once intelligence can be enhanced by technology, the rate of progress in technology is a function of how far you've already gone.” Location in source message body, paragraph beginning 'The scenario above points out'
Machine-checked · 2026-10-07
Source details and check notes Authors Eliezer Yudkowsky Version Archive HTML as served, retrieved 2026-10-07 (SHA-256 6b53d7a85ac8fa352ccda20157a393ef5d212919ceae95168353a5a189d1c2ed); quoted lines excluded when reading the author’s text. The served archive shows later URL rewriting and does not authenticate historical bytes. Archive at extropians.weidai.com. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-07 Language English (en) Attribution Eliezer Yudkowsky, “Re: Singularity: The Moore's Law Argument”, Extropians mailing list, 1998-09-18. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Candidate pack passage T10-e3. The quotation (22 words) matched the retrieved expression (SHA-256 6b53d7a85ac8fa352ccda20157a393ef5d212919ceae95168353a5a189d1c2ed) when checked on 2026-10-07. Status and meaning Editorial status. Not reviewed by an editor . An exploratory record that no editor has accepted. This status does not say whether a person has read any linked passage. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.
Relation. A passage of the document disputes the proposition or a premise it depends on. The record documents the text’s position, not who is right.
Date. Archive author index lists the message as "1998-09-18" under "Eliezer S. Yudkowsky".
Record ID yk-y10-extropians-1998-09-18-yudkowsky-2487-c