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“Artificial Intelligence as a Positive and Negative Factor in Global Risk” (2006-02-05) bears on Y20. He argues that the task is not to forecast storybook outcomes for AI in general but to choose a particular optimization process whose good effects can be established. Copy claim link
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Supporting evidence: primary · 2 sources
Date 2006-02-05 · event Role Context Register (kind of text) Nonfiction Missing element It rejects storybook predictions, good or bad; it does not address hatred or rebellion as the concern. Scope and limits Premise addressed: The concern is about robots that come to hate or rebel against humans. Chapter published 2008; cached text is the MIRI reprint ('contains minor changes'). Methodological: avoid storyteller predictions, good or bad; it does not address hatred or rebellion as such. Admission check, 2026-10-08: the quoted wording also appears in the draft of 5 February 2006, so the record is dated by the draft.
The evidence 02 primary source Supports the claim
Artificial Intelligence as a Positive and Negative Factor in Global Risk (MIRI reprint) ↗ Machine Intelligence Research Institute · 2008
Archived copy, captured 2013-03-02: Artificial Intelligence as a Positive and Negative Factor in Global Risk (MIRI reprint) ↗
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Paraphrase He writes that the critical challenge is not to predict that AIs will attack humanity with robot armies, or that they will cure cancer.
Location in source AI as a Positive and Negative Factor, §5.2 Aiming at the Target, paragraph beginning 'The critical challenge'
Machine-checked · 2026-10-06
Source details and check notes Authors Eliezer Yudkowsky Version MIRI reprint, "This version contains minor changes", retrieved 2026-10-06 with the hash recorded by the 1996–2022 candidate search; byte-identical to the capture of 2013-03-02. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-06 Language English (en) Archive copy Open archived copy, captured 2013-03-02: Artificial Intelligence as a Positive and Negative Factor in Global Risk (MIRI reprint) ↗ . An archive copy shows only what the archive retrieved on 2013-03-02. It does not prove what the page said earlier, and it can differ from the copy checked on 2026-10-06.Attribution Eliezer Yudkowsky, "Artificial Intelligence as a Positive and Negative Factor in Global Risk", in Global Catastrophic Risks (2008); MIRI reprint. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Candidate pack passage T20-d. The quotation (23 words) matched the retrieved expression (SHA-256 5b5a2ec3252a45f65cdc0b899330af2cbd946e75a31b83d5fbd3aa581a23615d) when checked on 2026-10-06. The dataset already quotes this source for the human-thought collection; together the quotations would exceed the per-document quotation limit. Converted to a labelled paraphrase. primary source Supports the claim
Artificial Intelligence and Global Risk (SIAI draft of 5 February 2006) ↗ Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence · 2006-02-05
Archived copy, captured 2006-07-08: Artificial Intelligence and Global Risk (SIAI draft of 5 February 2006) ↗
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Paraphrase The same wording appears in the draft dated 5 February 2006.
Location in source Draft of 5 February 2006, as captured on 2006-07-08
Machine-checked · 2026-10-08
Source details and check notes Authors Eliezer Yudkowsky Version Draft PDF as captured by the Internet Archive on 2006-07-08, retrieved 2026-10-06. The draft asks not to be quoted without permission, so it is cited for the presence and date of the wording, not quoted. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-06 Language English (en) Archive copy Open archived copy, captured 2006-07-08: Artificial Intelligence and Global Risk (SIAI draft of 5 February 2006) ↗ . Captured 153 days after the recorded publication date. An archive copy shows only what the archive retrieved on 2006-07-08. It does not prove what the page said earlier, and it can differ from the copy checked on 2026-10-06.Attribution Eliezer Yudkowsky, "Artificial Intelligence and Global Risk", SIAI draft of 5 February 2006. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata and labelled paraphrases only: the draft asks not to be quoted without permission. Phrases in quotation marks inside a paraphrase identify the source's wording. Check notes Compared on 2026-10-08 with the draft's PDF text layer after normalising quotation marks, dashes and whitespace. The draft asks not to be quoted without permission, so it is cited for the presence and date of the wording only. Status and meaning Editorial status. Not reviewed by an editor . An exploratory record that no editor has accepted. This status does not say whether a person has read any linked passage. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.
Relation. A passage of the document bears on the proposition without meeting its criterion; the record names the missing element. It is not an articulation and implies no influence.
Date. Date of the SIAI draft ("Draft of 5 February, 2006"), whose capture of 2006-07-08 contains the quoted wording; the chapter was published in 2008. As for the human-thought collection's records of this chapter.
Record ID yk-y20-ai-positive-negative-factor-global-risk-b