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The post “The Logical Fallacy of Generalization from Fictional Evidence” (2007-10-16) contests Y20. Responding to people who answer talk of advanced AI with film references, he argues that starting from fiction frames the debate around an 'Us vs. Them' struggle and leaves out the scenarios he considers relevant. Copy claim link
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Supporting evidence: primary · 1 source
Date 2007-10-16 · publication Role Contesting Register (kind of text) Nonfiction Engagement Engages a premise. Under the message-level rule, the passage, read with the paragraph, message or dialogue turn it belongs to, gives a reason against the premise that film scenarios are a fair guide to what the risk would look like. Scope and limits Premise addressed: Film scenarios are a fair guide to what the risk would look like. Imported Overcoming Bias post (2007-10-16).
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The Logical Fallacy of Generalization from Fictional Evidence ↗ Overcoming Bias · 2007-10-16
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Source excerpt “If you start out by thinking of The Matrix, it brings to mind marching robot armies defeating humans after a long struggle—not a superintelligence snapping nanotechnological fingers.” Location in source The Logical Fallacy of Generalization from Fictional Evidence, paragraph beginning 'Any professional negotiator knows'
Machine-checked · 2026-10-06
Source details and check notes Authors Eliezer Yudkowsky Version Post body retrieved through the LessWrong GraphQL API on 2026-10-06 (SHA-256 53c3644a3afe461f6098180d2de85f7ed78e5b5a8ed7f68a0462e4a458321c65), content version 2.0.0; quotations also compared with the posting-day version 1.0.0. As imported to LessWrong. Canonical address Open the canonical source ↗ Accessed 2026-10-06 Language English (en) Attribution Eliezer Yudkowsky, “The Logical Fallacy of Generalization from Fictional Evidence”, Overcoming Bias, as imported to LessWrong, 2007-10-16. Reuse No open redistribution licence asserted. Bibliographic metadata, editorial paraphrases and short attributed quotations (at most 50 words each). Recheck terms before wider redistribution. Check notes Candidate pack passage T20-a. The quotation (27 words) matched the retrieved expression (SHA-256 53c3644a3afe461f6098180d2de85f7ed78e5b5a8ed7f68a0462e4a458321c65) when checked on 2026-10-06. It also matched the posting-day version 1.0.0. Pack version note: edited post, current version 2.0.0; posting-day check pending. Status and meaning Editorial status. Not reviewed by an editor . An exploratory record that no editor has accepted. This status does not say whether a person has read any linked passage. Each evidence record above shows how it was checked.
Relation. A passage of the document disputes the proposition or a premise it depends on. The record documents the text’s position, not who is right.
Date. LessWrong postedAt of an imported Overcoming Bias post (Overcoming Bias date).
Record ID yk-y20-lw-2007-the-logical-fallacy-of-generalization-from-c