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How long until human-level AI? Results from an expert assessment

Seth D. Baum, Ben Goertzel and Ted G. Goertzel’s report of an expert assessment conducted at the AGI-09 conference (2009), in Technological Forecasting & Social Change 78 (1), 2011.

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  • How long until human-level AI? Results from an expert assessment Technological Forecasting & Social Change 78 (1): 185–195 · published 2011 · Author-hosted file version, retrieved directly. Retrieved 2026-11-05 (HTTP 200, SHA-256 296c2e922f8b020cc04c30bd75b5cda91ce2087d9ef4d13e5411a36814219a1b). Survey at the AGI-09 conference (2009); author's file version of 20 April 2011.

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