Thousands of AI Authors on the Future of AI
Katja Grace and co-authors’ report of a survey of authors of AI publications conducted in October 2023 (arXiv:2401.02843, version 1).
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- No authorship claim recorded yet. The source record lists Katja Grace, Harlan Stewart, Julia Fabienne Sandkühler, Stephen Thomas, Ben Weinstein-Raun and Jan Brauner.
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- No date claim recorded yet. The source record gives the publication date as 2024-01-05.
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- Thousands of AI Authors on the Future of AI arXiv:2401.02843v1 · published 2024-01-05 · arXiv version 1. Retrieved 2026-11-05 (HTTP 200, SHA-256 98ebcf757938892552d5a91a0e630486e0751339125480bba18fad145209cea1). Survey conducted in October 2023.
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- states a prediction“Thousands of AI Authors on the Future of AI” (2024-01-05) reports a survey result (Grace et al., survey of AI authors (2023)): “unaided machines outperforming humans in every possible task”; horizon as stated: 10% by 2027, and 50% by 2047. The record says nothing about whether the event happened.2024-01-05 · publication · Stated in source · Supported Inspect claim & evidence ↗
- states a prediction“Thousands of AI Authors on the Future of AI” (2024-01-05) reports a survey result (Grace et al., survey of AI authors (2023)): “all human occupations becoming fully automatable”; horizon as stated: 10% by 2037, and 50% as late as 2116. The record says nothing about whether the event happened.2024-01-05 · publication · Stated in source · Supported Inspect claim & evidence ↗