Long Bet 1: By 2029 no computer - or "machine intelligence" - will have passed the Turing Test
The page of the first bet on Long Bets, a service of The Long Now Foundation, between Mitchell Kapor and Ray Kurzweil, with its terms, arguments and stakes; the bet runs from 2002 to 2029.
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- No authorship claim recorded yet. The source record lists Long Bets (The Long Now Foundation), Mitchell Kapor and Ray Kurzweil.
- Dates
- No date claim recorded yet. The source record gives the publication date as 2002.
- Exact source
- Long Bet 1: By 2029 no computer - or "machine intelligence" - will have passed the Turing Test Long Bets · published 2002 · Live bet page, retrieved directly; an Internet Archive capture of 7 June 2002 (20020607200712), read by a reviewer from a different model family on 2026-11-05, words the bet differently. Retrieved 2026-11-05 (HTTP 200, SHA-256 c860e84baf6d4351a7d045ec6bbaafa519d1adf40b7a8d62374e7d59d84d2ae3). Duration given as "27 years (02002-02029)".
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